Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Risk-Off Moves Returning

Published 08/04/2021, 11:03 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Let's move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com).

S&P 500 And Nasdaq Outlook

SPX And NASDAW Daily Chart.

In spite of yesterday's upswing, S&P 500 keeps going sideways, and the indicators aren't all clear on the bulls great prospects. The vulnerability to a bear raid is still very much there.

Credit Markets

HYG, LQD And TLT Combined Chart.

Credit markets didn't really reverse yesterday. The risk-off sentiment remains very much on in spite of iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:HYG) erasing intraday losses. The stock market bulls aren't out of the woods in spite of the improving market breadth.

Gold, Silver And Miners

Gold, HUI And Silver Combined Daily Chart.

Miners' strong showing yesterday bodes well for both precious metals, and I'm looking for more gains in the sector. Remember that declining real rates on account of the risk-off bond moves, increase gold's appeal just as much as any worries about a decelerating economy or external shocks.

Crude Oil

Crude Oil Daily Chart.

Yesterday's downswing was partially bought, and the energy sector increase (great performance within the S&P 500) would point to a reversal soon. I'm not convinced that the bottom is in and that the bears have said their last word.

Copper

Copper Daily Chart.

Copper has traded on a weak note yesterday, and hasn't convincingly stabilized just yet. The volume is indicating buying interest isn't there.

Bitcoin And Ethereum

Bitcoin And Ethereum Combined Daily Chart.

Trading little changed, both cryptos are more than likely to go higher next, even if the indicators aren't yet hinting at that possibility strongly. Should they turn from here (likely in the current atmosphere, alongside with precious metals), that would be a promising sign for the bulls.

Latest comments

us10y has bottomed and so has oil
To say that 10-y yield bottomed, would imply that now it would rally. I'm not looking for any kind of a sharp one  - sideways, for now. Just as oil is trapped in a range - one, where we are closer to its lower end than to the upper one.
Please guide me when oil goes to 73
Sure you'll have my opinion - just keep reading me daily to see when I get long again. Today, short oil profits were taken off the table (a quick trade). Have you subscribed already?
Thank you MK.
Thank you dear Randall! I have mailed you last week, please check what I had to say, and let me know. Much appreciated!
very useful article ! Bravo
Thank you Ellin, as always, thank you!!
I might miss a buy in but I am holding out for a 3% pull back before I start a position on some calls. Thanks.
I guess you're talking about stocks, right?
Thank you Monica!
Thank you so dear Richard!
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.