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Resistance Test Due This Week For S&P 500 As Semiconductors Prime For Breakout

Published 09/27/2021, 12:07 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

We have the Russell 2000 caught in a long term trading range, and despite registering a gain it hasn't changed the larger picture in favor of either bulls or bears.  The only index at a point of inflection is the S&P

After breaking below the bearish wedge it now finds itself rallying back to former support turned resistance.  There are flickers of good news; intermediate stochastics returned above the bullish mid-line and Friday's close finished above the 50-day MA.

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (via IWM) closed with a doji inside Thursday's white candlestick. If this was an overbought market we would be looking at a bearish harami cross but stochastics are at a mid-level, just like the index itself.

IWM Daily Chart

The NASDAQ is at least looking upwards having successfully defended support marked by the July and August swing lows. Technicals are a little mixed with Stochastics and On-Balance-Volume generating 'buy' signals but other technicals are bearish.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The most interesting index is the Semiconductors. It's nicely set up for a breakout this week with technicals mostly bullish.  Only the MACD is negative. Strength in semiconductors should help the NASDAQ.

SOX Daily Chart

The S&P is primed for a test this week, but what it does will likely lead to a big say as to what will happen for the rest of the year.  Tech indices are firmly bullish, so we may see some contribution from Tech stocks to the S&P. 

Latest comments

We should have a pullback or consolidation first
Thanks again. This market doesn't cease to amaze me in terms of durability to the upside, but maybe two weeks to the downside and one week to the upside now will be followed by a week to the downside?
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