Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Pound Depreciates Ahead Of Brexit Trigger

Published 03/29/2017, 06:58 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

The biggest story on Tuesday was the trend reversal of the British pound. Sterling reversed shy of 1.26 and dropped sharply towards 1.2350. The sharp sell-off was due to the much-anticipated Brexit trigger which will happen today. The formal Brexit process starts around 13:30 local time when a letter personally signed by U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May will arrive in Brussels.

May signed the historical document on Tuesday evening and it will be handed to EU President Donald Tusk today. Tusk will read out a statement at 13:45 (GMT+2) while May will address the U.K. Parliament about the same time. The uncertainty over terms of Brexit could weigh on the pound in the medium-term, so traders should generally prepare for further losses as long as the prospects of U.K. monetary policy tightening remain far off.

From a technical perspective, sterling bears should wait for a bearish break below 1.2340 in order to sell the pound towards 1.21. Nonetheless, there is also a risk of a short squeeze in short-term time frames which could occur through profit taking. We see a crucial resistance zone between 1.2530 - 1.2570 and it would require a renewed break above that area to shift the bias in favor of the bulls.

EUR/USD
The shared currency was unable to break above 1.0875 and therefore fell back towards 1.08. For the time being, the euro is holding above the 1.08-mark but this may change quickly as the Brexit trigger poses a risk to the euro.

Bearish scenario: If the euro falls below 1.0780 it may heads for a test of the lower support-zones at 1.0760 and 1.07. A significant break below 1.0680 could lead to further losses towards 1.06.

Bullish scenario: A fresh break above 1.0875 may prompt euro bulls to buy euros towards 1.0920/50.
The risk is however to the downside.
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart

Here are our daily signal alerts:

EUR/USD
Long at 1.0840 SL 25 TP 20-30
Short at 1.0790 SL 25 TP 20, 40

GBP/USD
Long at 1.2470 SL 25 TP 20, 35
Short at 1.2375 SL 25 TP 30, 70

We wish you good trades and many pips!

Disclaimer: Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.