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Optimistic About Markets? Don't Be (And How Not To Be A Casualty)

Published 10/07/2012, 01:31 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
A friend emailed me yesterday regarding the state of financial markets. He happens not to be a client of my fund, but nevertheless the advice and effort I give to him and his family is one similar to that of my clients too. I've attended university with his two older brothers, who happen to be very, very close friends of mine, but they do not share interest in the investment world as much as he does. His father has given him the responsibility of investing the family's capital, as they own a large consumer staples business in the Asia Pacific region and are very well off. The gentleman emailed me regarding stock prices, Australian real estate prices and Precious Metals. Today's post is a "one-off" where I will copy and paste a letter to a friend regarding investment advice. For obvious reasons, certain private parts, family discussions, names, greetings, side chat and other sensitive information has been removed / edited for the sake of privacy. Enjoy!







On the stock market...


Corporate+Profit+Margin





Stock Market Gains






Cash Levels








"Attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful" ~ Warren Buffet


On the Precious Metals...







Gold Asset Allocation






Gold Technicals


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GLD Tonne Holdings












On the Economy and Australian real estate...



Asian Export Slowdown


Iron Ore & Steel Prices










link here
Australian GDP




Latest comments

very good and nice article which is very clear ,,,,keep it up ,,hihihi
Hi Tiho, Loved your article , honestly I've only read half of it , running out of time actually. i agree with your view on cash levels and over optimism on the stock market. im an individual investor based out of india and i handle a few of my close relatives and friends commodities trading account. Will look forward to your articles in future and also make time and read your previous ones. Keep posting. God bless
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