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Next Week Looks Key For USD

Published 07/24/2013, 11:29 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
Foreign Exchange Price And Time At A Glance
<span class=USD/CHF
  • USD/CHF has declined steadily since failing at the 2x1 Gann angle line of the year-to-date high in the .9750 area
  • While below the 4th square root progression of the year’s low at .9405 our near-term trend bias will remain lower in the rate
  • Gann and Fibonacci levels between .9305 and .9325 look like the next downside pivot with clear weakness below needed to trigger another meaningful leg lower in the rate
  • Near-term time cycle studies suggest Thursday is a minor turn window
  • A close above .9405 is required to alleviate the immediate negative tone and turn us positive on the dollar
Strategy
<span class=NZD/USD
  • NZD/USD has continued to move steadily higher since finding support near Fibonacci symmetry during the first half of the month
  • While over .7860 our near-term trend bias will remain higher in the Bird
  • The 4th square root progression of the year-to-date low in the .8030 is now key resistance and traction over this level is required to trigger a more important move higher
  • A medium-term cycle turn window is seen early next week
  • The third square root progression of the year’s low in the .7945 area is immediate support, but only weakness below .7860 will turn us negative on the Kiwi
Strategy
<span class=EUR/GBP
  • EUR/GBP has come under steady downside pressure since failing last week near the the 1st square root progression of the year-to-date high in the .8720 area
  • However, while above the 2ndsquare root progression of the year-to-date low in the .8580 area our near-term trend bias will remain higher
  • As such, the .8720 remains critical resistance with clear strength above this level needed to set up another push higher in the cross
  • Near-term cycle studies warn that the next couple of days are a turn window
  • Clear weakness back below .8580 will undermine the immediate positive structure in the rate and turn us negative
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Strategy
FXCM Dollar Index


by Kristian Kerr, Senior Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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