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Natural Gas: Tuesday Likely to Be a Turning Point

Published 02/28/2023, 02:46 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Since my Feb. 23 piece, natural gas futures have continued to maintain an uptrend amid supportive weather in favor of bulls, despite heavy selling pressure.

Reasons behind this reversal in natural gas futures and the lows of $2.114 might be delayed winters to regulatory approval for the Freeport terminal to start commercial operations, resulting in the formation of a bullish hammer in the monthly chart, which is likely to turn clearer if the prices close above $2.908 today.

The closure of the Freeport terminal was seen as a significant blow to European LNG supplies last year as countries sought to find replacements for Russian gas following the invasion of Ukraine.

However, it may take weeks before the Freeport terminal resumes a full-processing capacity of about 2.2bn ft./day. But a steep surge in hopes could boost bullish sentiments as this will resolve the overproduction issue.Natural Gas Futures Monthly Chart

Technically speaking, in the monthly chart, the formation of a bullish hammer could give a clear view of the body of this hammer turning red to green and close above $2.908 on the last day of Feb. 2023 - the same as was witnessed in Apr. 2021, before the advent of a rally that peaked at $6.284 in Sept. 2021.

Natural Gas Futures Weekly Chart

In the weekly chart, the prices maintain a bullish candle within this week's first two trading sessions, still holding above the weekly gap-up, providing enough evidence of sustaining a bullish momentum despite selling pressure.

There is significant resistance at 9 DMA, which is at $2.863 in the weekly chart, but likely to be breached shortly as bulls could turn aggressive if the price holds above $2.767 in today’s trading session, as I mentioned in my last piece

Natural Gas Futures Daily Chart

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In the daily chart, the last four consecutive bullish candles confirm a breakout before the inventory announcement this week amid increasing volatility, as 3 out of the past 4 EIA reports missed bullishly, and Freeport LNG is getting closer to being fully operational.

Disclaimer: The author of this analysis does not have any position in Natural Gas futures. Readers are advised to take any position at their own risk, as Natural Gas is one of the most liquid commodities in the world.

Latest comments

Whats this dude talking about 2.90 end of february close? i do not see 2.90 this past 30 days!
NG has been up alot since you stop writing, nice work, please keep quiet!
Yes
kena ponda
He Singh please write about gold, silver, oil, rice, sugar, wheat, or anything else you want to jinx. Every time you write about NG you jinx it to the worst. Please forget NG and go Jinx something else man
write about KAKA futures if you want to.
you better stay neutral
Honestly, what else does this guy do besides bad writing and meaningless crayon-drawn charts? Obviously, no one will go to him for any advice, at least I would NEVER EVER.
Is it possible to have it with subtitles? Cuz I dont understand even 1 word🙈 sorry. Hard to understand🙏
The chart is starting to look bullish. I was wondering if Freeport had something to do with this myself.
sounds desperate....
Folks unless it breaks 2.8 be very very cautious as boil reverse split on the cards and this mafia won’t let this opportunity go away. Go KOLD go
What happens in split
Told you guys. Reversal started today. $2 inevitable. $100 KOLD guaranteed this mafia. Reverse split has to happen now. No choice. SS jinx continues. So as soon as he comes in remember to buy KOLD.
Don't spam the forum with your SS like commentary.
Isnt kold under 50 now?, you still think over 100?
Or is this a little pull back before next leg up ?
Reversal started today. $2 inevitable Boil reverse split inevitable KOLD century inevitable
Don't know if we'll break above $3 before retesting $2, but I definitely see $5 this summer.
Here comes the iron leg. Buy KOLD guys today
thank you for the insight.. I have now become a bear!
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