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Natural Gas Shows Signs of Volatility Despite Neutral Forecast

Published 02/10/2023, 08:34 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The natural gas futures market has been volatile following the announcement of weekly inventory data on Thursday.

Despite a weekly withdrawal of 217 Bcf, which was higher than expected, the bulls have not made significant gains due to neutral weather forecasts.

Natural Gas Futures 15 Minutes Chart

Technically, the 15-minute chart shows that the natgas futures have been unable to remain above the 9 DMA after reaching a high of $2.527.

The futures attempted to stay above the 200 DMA but were unsuccessful.

The rest of the moves on Friday will depend on the rig count, as the growing production is still a concern for those hoping for bullish sentiment.

The natgas futures appear ready to bounce, as the bulls have prevented a drop below $2.412 and have maintained an upward trend.

Based on current formations, the bulls are eyeing a reach of $2.658 by the end of the week or a gap-up opening above $2.631 in the first trading session of the next week, as weather conditions can change rapidly over the weekend.

***

Disclaimer: The author of this analysis does not have any position in Natural Gas Futures. Readers are advised to take any position at their own risk; as Natural Gas is one of the most liquid commodities in the world.

Latest comments

Please don't write about NATTY anymore, every time you do you jinx it ti hell. PLEAS PLEAS PLEAS stop writing about NATTY
Right again as always, lol...
Mr.Satendea all the respect to yourself but not to your analysis. it's weak and unreal based on dreams no basis
Sorry but all of you in jannuary didn’t see the big drop coming !! how can you see if and when the jump will start ?
Lol dont jinx it. You have been very bad luck for NG. Best is not to write till NG is up to atleast $5. Just take a break and eat your ladoos
Maybe the volatility is signaling a reversal. Technical analysis only works if the supply and demand fundamentals align in the near future.
Balanced article Singh to close the week. lets see what next week brings.
volatility will decrease then
 :), very true
Mafias are calling back herd in boil and NG today to get them hammered badly and get slaughtered on Sunday Monday and next week. This is the plan. Mark my words. Period. They don’t find any retail traders in NG or Boil anymore so nicely setting up bull trap today Suckers and they are the widow makers.
Guys this is bull trap. $2 NG is inevitable and so is boil reverse split under $5 Keep riding on KOLD or short Boil until next month. Bottom is not in yet and gap down opening on Sunday evening could fall through previous low of 2.341. Get ready KOLD KOLD KOLD guys. Load truck.
✋ chill.... writing junk... fundabunga and technicals don't apply to NG when whales are playing. this is why your 90% wrong.
10% that too by mistake
Fair analysis Mr. Singh. The problem for the last 2 months has been that technical analysis didn't hold true for NatGas. Hopefully the balance between the bulls and bears has been restored and technicals can finally come to play. Lot of the forum members have been raising this point for a while now.
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