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The market turmoil that followed the last FOMC meeting suggests it may be time for a primer on the relationships among the Federal Reserve’s asset purchase program, its Federal Funds rate target...
We expect the Bank of England (BoE) to remain on hold at Thursday’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting (13:00 CET). This is the first meeting of the MPC with Mark Carney at the head of the...
Protest movements in Turkey and Brazil, a squeeze on bank liquidity in China, capital outflows and drop in equity and commodity prices: emerging countries are in the midst of a difficult period....
The surprising fall of the ISM index below the 50-threshold in May was reversed in June, as the rebound in production and new orders components drove the improvement. Price pressures remain very...
Market movers today In terms of data releases, the calendar is very thin. In the UK construction PMI data are released at 10:30 CET, while US factory orders at 16:00 CET is the highlight during the...
Today's update on the mood in Britain’s construction sector will be closely watched for additional evidence that the UK economy’s revival is gaining momentum. Meanwhile, the May report on...
In order to fully understand what the five Republican appointees on the Supreme Court have been up to when they make decisions that affect our democracy, as they did last week on voting rights, you...
Summary: Many people look at the US economy since the crash and deny there has been a recovery. Or a “real” recovery. That’s false. This is the 5th in a series about our recovery; today we examine...
The biggest threat to near-term recovery in the eurozone is not the periphery. It's France - which represents over a fifth of the area's GDP. CNBC: The figures showed the eurozone's second-largest...
EUR/USD Today’s support: - 1.3034, 1.3005, 1.2971 and 1.2957(main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2938, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2912. Break of the latter...
Deciphering what is driving the markets on a day-to-day, week-to-week, or month-to-month basis can feel like repeatedly hammering your head. In order to grasp the reasons why financial markets go up...
Since the FOMC’s June 22nd meeting, markets have been in turmoil. Commentators and Fed watchers have been speculating about exactly what Chairman Bernanke was trying to say on behalf of the...
FORECASTSTOCKS: The world economy is weakening: the US payroll tax increase and “sequestration” are pressuring the US economy; China is being pressured by Japan, and has...
I’m at a loss to explain what happened in the Chinese money system the past few weeks. Yes, the tip of the iceberg was the Wealth Management Products that matured in June. And yes, it’s...
This article introduces some thoughts and ideas about human decision-making and behaviour risk in the financial markets. The article also asks questions of the financial risk industry and looks at...