Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Long-Term S&P 500: 2850?

Published 09/21/2017, 10:20 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

It often pays in life to take a longer view. To gather perspective and avoid knee-jerk reactions. This is generally the case for the stock market as well. Especially in the last few months where a 1% change has been described as a major event. This anchoring gets short term investors tied to the current view and when a two week range of 25 basis points in the S&P 500 is followed by a 50bp day suddenly the whole world has changed.

There are many ways to take a longer view in markets. You can just not even follow them, putting money in index funds until you retire. That may be a little to far to the extreme. Oddly that is what many of the Finance professors I work with do, but that is another story. Using technical analysis there are many tools to help see long term trends and wipe out short term stagnation or volatility. One of them is Renko charts.

Daily S&P 500

The chart of the S&P 500 above uses the renga (bricks) of the Renko to help give a longer view. In these charts a brick is added when the price exceeds the last one by the Average True Range (ATR), a volatility measure. Using this method it is easy to see the run higher in the Index out of the 2011 correction and consolidation into the 2015. That lasted until mid 2016 when the Index started higher again. It retested the break out level and then took off to the upside.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Now at 2500 with the world getting antsy about an impending crash, the Renko says to stay long the S&P 500. In fact a broad read would say there is a target to 2850 to complete a Measured Move higher. It may never get there, but the point is that there is a very different and calming picture when you pullback from the TV pundits and the short term tight range. Consider there may still be a long way to go in this current market upswing.

Latest comments

Of course It is in this fabulous news that the market falls Thanks, I'll wait for 2100/2200
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.