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If one likes the idea of buying low and selling higher, junk bonds might come to mind due to how hard they've been hit of late! The chart below highlights that an unusual and large performance spread between SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (ARCA:JNK) and the S&P 500. Its not often that these two see a 10% return difference in just 60 days. This differential wasn't the only thing that got my attention though.....see comments below.
At the same time junk was doing so poorly, the decline took both JNK & HYG down to levels not seen since 2012 and momentum is the most oversold in the past 5 years.
Premium members bought JNK because of these conditions mentioned above, as JNK was creating bullish wicks at 2012 levels. Junk bonds are often viewed as leading indicators for the broad market and these bullish wicks were nice to spot after such a rare performance spread was at hand.
By Padhraic Garvey & Benjamin Schroeder Nothing like a few auctions to help test the temperature. Yields sailed lower yesterday through the 2-year and 5-year UST auctions,...
The 10-year US government bond yield was hovering around 3.75% when we first wrote about it in mid-February. Elliott Wave analysis led us to conclude that there was quite a good...
Today’s “fair value” estimate of the US 10-year Treasury yield continues to suggest that the current market rate is unusually lofty and that the spread will soon narrow....
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