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Is This the Time to Be Greedy or Fearful for Traders?

Published 03/22/2023, 12:57 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The S&P 500 popped Tuesday, adding another 1.3% to Monday’s nice gains. As bad as the headlines seem, the best buying opportunities arrive when everyone is the most scared.

As is often the case, the latest banking scare’s selling capitulated last week when headlines were their most dire, and prices are now rebounding on less-bad-than-feared. We haven’t had another domino fall, and investors are breathing a sigh of relief.

S&P 500 Index Daily Chart

Will this relief last? No, probably not. That’s why savvy bounce buyers are standing near the exits and proactively locking in some worthwhile profits as we challenge 4k resistance.

Remember, we only make money when we sell our winners, and this remains a choppy market. As I’ve been saying for a while, if we are not taking profits when we have them, we will take losses a few days later.

Bears that didn’t lock in quick profits last week are taking losses this week, and we will be saying the same thing about bulls that hold too long next week.

No doubt I will take profits too early, but that sure beats holding too long. Buying back in is far easier than convincing the market to return to the levels you wish you sold at.

The Fed is meeting this week, and we will have our next rate decision. If the news is good, there will be plenty of time to buy back in and ride the next big wave higher. But until then, I’m happy locking in what I’ve got.

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Latest comments

Historically the FED stops hiking only once they have broken something, there are two scenarios and none is bullish for stocks in the medium term: 1. The FED keeps hiking. 2. The FED stops hiking because they have broken the banking system.
Historically you are regurgitating twitter nonsense that has nothing to do with reality.
think about it though, if the fed stops hiking now it will damage credibility and signal something is wrong, OP is correct. 25 bp hike is best option for market
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