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Is Dow Jones Ready to Break Out Higher?

By Declan FallonStock MarketsJan 13, 2023 12:28AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/is-dow-jones-ready-to-break-out-higher-200634313
Is Dow Jones Ready to Break Out Higher?
By Declan Fallon   |  Jan 13, 2023 12:28AM ET
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A good day for markets left the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 in a state of net bullish technical strength.

This development appear to be the start of an intermediate- (or longer) term rally — led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

I don't usually cover the Dow Jones Index. Still, it is set up to break out with a solid cup-and-handle pattern above all lead moving averages after a modest (but confirmed) accumulation day.

The index could barely do more. The only spoiler was the relative underperformance against the Nasdaq 100, but price action will always lead.

INDU Daily Chart
INDU Daily Chart

With the Dow Jones leading, it's hard to see the S&P 500 struggling. The index is bumping up against the 200-day MA resistance, but like the aforementioned index, it registered as an accumulation day.

Relative performance against the Russell 2000 is nose-diving, but as previously mentioned, price action is more important. The index has moved beyond the Christmas consolidation, which is a positive.

SPX Daily Chart
SPX Daily Chart

The Nasdaq is lagging behind peer indices as it scrambles off its lows. It's some way from its 200-day MA, having just regained its 50-day MA.

The positive is the relative outperformance versus the S&P 500, but I would stick to the Large Cap indices for now.

COMPQ Daily Chart
COMPQ Daily Chart

The other strong performer on the day was the Russell 2000 (IWM). It has surged past its 200-day MA and is on its way to cracking through the November high.

There was a marked increase in buying volume, and it's the lead index in relative performance. The Russell 2000 could be the sleeper hit for the year.

IWM Daily Chart
IWM Daily Chart

Today was a good marker for the overall market. Bears will have plenty to say, but today's action indicated a rally could be around the corner.

Is Dow Jones Ready to Break Out Higher?
 

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Is Dow Jones Ready to Break Out Higher?

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Comments (3)
RMB RMB
RMB_ Jan 14, 2023 11:57PM ET
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Oh yeah sure, until big money finishes selling it all through the dark pool, like they’re doing. The level of criminality is worst than 2008
Dweeptaru Das
Dweeptaru Das Jan 14, 2023 9:20AM ET
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I truly appreciate your positive thinking and that's what will happen in the short term
Аягуль Бияева
Аягуль Бияева Jan 13, 2023 4:19AM ET
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