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Here's Why The S&P 500 Is Headed Higher And GME Could Be Worth A Second Look

Published 03/31/2021, 12:22 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Gamestop Corp Daily Chart

On Tuesday the S&P 500 slipped for the second day in a row following Friday’s record close. That said, these two losses only added up to 0.4% and the index remains within easy reach of the psychologically significant 4k milestone.

The 10-year Treasury yield pushed up to another post-COVID high. But as alarmed as equity investors were when this yield rally took off earlier this year, this latest round of increases are largely being met with a yawn. This isn’t a surprise. We’ve been living under the clouds of higher interest rates for a couple of months and if they were going to kill this bull market, it would have happened by now. Instead, most stock owners remain confident and are holding for higher prices.

A popular stock market truism warns us of complacency. While complacency often proceeds the fall, the thing most people forget to mention is just how long complacence lasts before the fall. Markets can stay complacent for many months, even years. That means anyone trading the early signs of complacence is getting out long before they should. While these cynics will eventually be right, they will be wrong for a long, long time before that happens.

Weak markets don’t keep making record highs. That means this market is strong, not weak. Until we have compelling evidence to the contrary, continue giving this bull market the benefit of doubt. Hold for higher prices with stops spread around 3,900.

While the charade in GameStop (NYSE:GME) will eventually come crashing back to earth, there are no limits to what fools and their money can accomplish when they pool their resources. While GME is headed back to $20 over the medium term, the near-term upside looks interesting. As obvious as the inevitable collapse is, we have to take note of just how stubbornly the stock is holding near $200.

One of the most powerful signals in the stock market is when something is not doing what everyone thinks it should be doing. In this case, the obviously overvalued GME should be tumbling back to $20. The fact we are still holding near $200 tells me there is still a lot of demand at this level and the stock wants to take another run higher.

This might be the last gasps of a dying stock, but if this gets above $200, it is buyable for a (very) quick trade. If you get a 20% or 50% pop, take your money and run because those profits will likely be gone hours later.

And once this near-term pop fizzles and retreats back under $200, this becomes a great short entry point.

Latest comments

bs article again
sp500 is pointing towards 3200
so hang on for another 5% possible gain despite it might drop 30 to 40 % in the next correction? sounds like a good gamble
If 10-y starts approaching 2%, yawners may suddenly be caught in their pajamas.
Sounds like a train full of addicts, Jani. Should one add to the mire? Some journeys you do not want to be a part of. Commonsense may suggest that it is better to step aside.
why not ride for a $100-150 profit, if the downside is only 500-600?
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