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Good Days For Market Continue

Published 01/11/2021, 12:17 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

There was a strong close to last week with markets finishing at new highs.  The Russell 2000 (via IWM) was a bit of an exception as it closed just a little down on Friday, but not before spiking at a high. 

The Russell 2000 did register as a distribution day on Friday, but the net effect was relatively minor compared to previous buying. Technicals are all net positive with relative performance still doing well against the NASDAQ and S&P.  The index is 36% above its 200-day MA, where just 22% is enough to place it in the 99% area of historic price extremes; a move to mean reversion will happen soon.

IWM Daily Chart

The NASDAQ recorded some of its highest (buying) volume on Friday as it closed at its high. This index sits at 23.8% above its 200-day MA which is only just above its 95% area of historic extreme price action. The MACD is still on a 'sell' trigger but is on the verge of a new 'buy' trigger. Things remain positive—it would take an undercut of the swing low at the 20-day MA from the start of January to suggest otherwise. 

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P also finished at a new high with the benefit of net bullish technicals—only relative performance is down against Small Caps. The index is riding along trending support also marked by its 20-day MA.

SPX Daily Chart

The Semiconductor Index had a bright start on Friday but found itself closing a little lower by end-of-business Friday. The current move had accelerated above the prior channel and in its current guise is shaping up as a possible bearish wedge, but this won't be confirmed (or negated) until there is a break of support (or resistance).

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SOX Daily Chart

Traders have returned markets to a positive alignment after the initial loss. It's going to take more than one or two days of selling to change that, so for now, markets (and positions) are a hold. 

Latest comments

tighten your stops folks
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