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Gold Stocks Set for Lift-Off With Cup and Handle Formation in Play

Published 10/08/2024, 12:47 PM
XAU/USD
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DJI
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FXI
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DX
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GC
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CL
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GDX
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Fake employment reports, endless wars, a soup kitchen called the Fed, free speech in a garbage can, and a soaring US stock market that supposedly proves that all this madness is sanity…

Does anyone really need another reason to focus on getting more gold?

The Chinese stock market crashed overnight, after the government didn’t promise any more free printed money to “fix” the economy.

FXI Chart

The FXI has soared about 75% from my buy zone for investors… But the more exciting news is that the overnight crash could create a tidal wave of fresh demand for gold.

Dow and Gold Chart

After 54 years (more than half a century!) the mighty Dow Jones Industrial Average has failed to produce any sustained gains when measured in supreme currency gold… and the gains that it did make only lasted for two short years (1998-2000) before they began melting away.

If America’s 30 mightiest companies can’t build any sustained gold money wealth after 54 years, can the average investor expect to fare better?

The obvious answer is no.

Dollar vs Gold

The dollar is a failed currency (because it’s fiat), yet most investors are obsessed with getting more dollars rather than more supreme currency gold.

Crude Chart

The 2021-2025 war cycle has once again put the spotlight on oil. In a nutshell, the mid-East is always a powder keg, and the fuse is once again lit.

Interestingly, oil has been moving in the opposite direction to gold since the 2022 surge faded, and especially since last October, when US rates hit my 5% sell zone at my $1810 buy zone for gold.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Chart

Now, gold is drifting sideways while oil is aggressively rallying from my $65 buy zone. Will this action continue?

Well, for some technical insight into the matter, the short-term US rates chart. The most likely scenario is that the dollar, rates, and oil all rally together until rates get to the neckline zone on this chart.

From there, a big decline in rates is likely, and it “should” be accompanied with a surge to $3000-$3300 for gold.

Inflation and Deflation Chart

This long-term chart suggests that a short-term fade in US inflation and growth will produce a dip in rates…

But then both inflation and rates will begin to rise like they did in the 1970s (and more), creating what is best described as nirvana for mining stock investors.

Gold Chart

Note the RSI and Stochastics action on this daily chart; gold is simply working off another short-term overbought situation.

It could take a few weeks until US rates arrive at their H&S top neckline and gold’s oscillators become oversold, but there’s no reason for investor concern…

Provided they are focused on getting more gold!

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF Chart

The hourly chart H&S top pattern for GDX (NYSE:GDX) is in sync with the H&S top for RSI on the daily gold chart.

Short-term top patterns on the miners are expected to form (and typically do) as gold becomes overbought… especially if gold stocks are arriving at previous highs of significance, which is currently the case with GDX.

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF Technical Chart

It’s clear that GDX is recoiling after rising towards the area of the hugely significant previous high of $43.

C&H Pattern Chart

Another look at this intriguing chart. Inverse H&S patterns can morph into cup and handles, and that appears to be what’s happening here. The golden news is that both patterns are outrageously bullish, and both have a $60 target for GDX!

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