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Gold Halts Recent Decline, Remains Bearish

Published 08/04/2015, 07:04 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

LONG TERM TREND BEARISH
INTERMEDIATE TERM TREND BEARISH
SHORT TERM TREND BEARISH
VERY SHORT TERM TREND NEUTRAL

Gold has halted the recent decline and has been consolidating in a range between 1080 and 1105 for the past week or so, with the price direction quite volatile and trading opportunities limited. Gold is clearly attempting to form a base here for a rally back towards 1130-1040, however a break of recent lows near 1080 will suggest another sharp down leg is underway, with 1050 the first target and 1000 below that.

A general weakness in commodities, primarily driven by Chinese economic uncertainty, is helping to depress the gold price, with the Eurozone situation a lot calmer since Greece went to the edge of the abyss and peered over a few weeks back.

Equities remain weak as the uncertainty in China weighs on prices, whilst oil continues to tumble with the price now well below $50 a barrel and looking very weak.

Support can be found at 1080, 1074, 1045, 1000, 950, 867 and 806. The break of 1130 is very bearish for gold and suggest a return to 1000-1050 in the first instance.

Resistance can be found at 1103-1106, 1110, 1130, 1142, 1147, 1163, 1170, 1175, 1184, 1204, 1208-1210, 1215, 1220-1223, 1235 and 1252-1256. Gold has broken below the 2014 lows and looks be headed much lower.

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