The British pound is almost unchanged in the Monday session. In North American trade, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3191, up 0.02% on the day. On the release front, British CBI Industrial Order Expectations came in at -2, well off the estimate of +9 points. There are no US releases on the schedule.
Is Britain’s manufacturing sector in trouble? CBI Industrial Order Expectations, which surveys sentiment among manufacturers, showed a decline for the first time in over a year. Earlier in October, two key manufacturing indicators softened. Manufacturing Production dipped to 0.4% in August, down from 0.5% a month earlier. Still, this beat the estimate of 0.2%. As well, Manufacturing PMI slowed to 55.9 in September, compared to 56.9 in August. Although the readings still point to expansion, signs of weaker manufacturing activity could unnerve investors.
The negotiations over Britain’s departure from the European Union are supposed to wind up before Britain leaves the EU in March 2019. However, the talks between the parties have foundered, as the sides remain far apart on a number of key issues, including the size of Britain’s bill when it says goodbye to the club. Prime Minister May addressed the 27 EU leaders last week in Brussels, imploring the European to show some flexibility. Still, this didn’t prevent the EU leaders from stating that trade negotiations with Britain would not commence until more progress was made on non-trade matters. Prime Minister May has a razor-thin majority in parliament, and adding to the mix, there are sharp divisions in her cabinet regarding Brexit, with some senior ministers in favor of taking a hard stance and leaving the EU without an agreement if the Europeans fail to soften their position.
UK Factory Orders Slow But Data Not as Bad as it Appears
GBP/USD Fundamentals
Monday (October 23)
- 6:00 British CBI Industrial Order Expectations. Estimate +9. Actual -2
*All release times are GMT
*Key events are in bold
GBP/USD for Monday, October 23, 2017
GBP/USD October 23 at 11:55 EDT
Open: 1.3189 High: 1.3227 Low: 1.3157 Close: 1.3191
GBP/USD Technical
| S1 | S2 | S1 | R1 | R2 | R3 |
| 1.2904 | 1.3022 | 1.3122 | 1.3224 | 1.3347 | 1.3444 |
GBP/USD ticked higher in the Asian session and retracted in European trade. The pair has shown little movement in North American trade
- 1.3122 is providing support
- 1.3224 was tested earlier in resistance
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1.3122, 1.3022 and 1.2904
- Above: 1.3224, 1.3347, 1.3444 and 1.3514
- Current range: 1.3122 to 1.3224
OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio
GBP/USD ratio is showing little movement in the Monday session. Currently, long and short positions are evenly split, indicative of a lack of trader bias as to what direction GBP/USD will take next.