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For Investors Liquidating To A Cash Position: What To Do Next?

Published 06/13/2022, 04:53 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Bank of America (NYSE:BAC)'s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnet recently stated:

“The bear-market rally for stocks has disappeared as investor concerns about inflation and interest rates linger. We’re in a technical recession but just don’t realize it.”

Freight Waves' Henry Byers reported:

“U.S. import demand is dropping off a cliff as inbound container volumes to the U.S. is reverting to pre-pandemic levels.”

Byers went on to say:

“The consumer is getting crushed as conditions for the consumer seem to be getting worse and worse as inflation takes hold and prices get more and more expensive.”

We have quickly moved from seeing the dark clouds on the horizon to the start of entering the initial storm wall. The USD put in a major low on Jan. 6, 2021. Since then it has been in a strong uptrend as global investors seek safety with the uncertainties about geopolitical events, record inflation, rising interest rates, slowing housing, plummeting auto sales, increasing retail inventories, expanding consumer credit and pending layoffs.

Source: www.finviz.com

U.S. DOLLAR ETF: UUP +16.69%

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (NYSE:UUP) remains in its uptrend as the price continues to move up from its base of accumulation.

After having a brief two-week pullback of -3.45% UUP has found support and is now looking to extend its bull market trend.

Investors who are liquidating stocks and moving to a cash position could consider UUP to capitalize on the strengthening U.S. dollar.

UUP Daily Chart.

20+ Year Treasury Inverted ETF: TBF +38.89%

ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (NYSE:TBF) remains in its uptrend as the price continues to move up from its base of accumulation.

After having a three-week pullback of 6.21% TBF has found support and is now looking to extend its bull market trend.

Investors who are liquidating stocks and moving to a cash position could consider TBF to capitalize on the Fed raising interest rates to try and curb inflation.

TBF Daily Chart.

S&P 500 Short Inverted ETF: SH +19.33%

ProShares Short S&P500 (NYSE:SH) remains in its uptrend as the price continues to move up from its base of accumulation.

After having a 2+-week pullback of 7.19%, SH has found support and is now looking to extend its bull market trend.

Investors who are liquidating stocks and moving to a cash position could consider SH to capitalize on the falling stock market.

SH Daily Chart.

Valuable Insights From Successful Traders

Market Wizards by Jack D Schwager (www.Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN)) is packed with insights from successful traders who have shared their wisdom based on firsthand trading experiences. Here are a few of our favorites:

Paul Tudor Jones:

  • “If you have a losing position that is making you uncomfortable, the solution is very simple; get out, because you can always get back in.”
  • “There is nothing better than a fresh start.”

Ed Seykota:

  • “There are old traders and there are bold traders, but there are very few old, bold traders.”
  • “Losing a position is aggravating, whereas losing your nerve is devastating.”
  • “Good traders; Many are called, and few are chosen.”

Larry Hite:

  • “We always follow the trends, and we never deviate from our methods.”
  • “I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life; If you don’t bet, you can’t win.”
  • “If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.”

Latest comments

If it feels like gambling when you are about to make a trade, don't do it. Trading should not be gambling. When you trade, you need to leverage the information to take calculated risks. The Market has been on a serious downward trend for the past three sessions. It follows that there will be a breather either tomorrow or Wednesday; think of it as a dead cat bounce. However, I think everyone has come to understand that we are in a long-term downward trend. After the bounce, it will continue going down. I bought calls on all of the indexes right before close today, time will tell if catching a falling knife will leave me bloody; but the likelihood of a fourth straight down day without a slight bounce is why I decided to go this route. That having been said, I have been taking profits for the past 3 days on index puts. I am now shorting BITO, even if the Nasdaq bounces up, I believe Crypto is dead for the near term. Finally, I am accumulating shares on Tesla, SG, DRIP & UVXY.
Thanks Chris for great article
Wait for the coast to clear and buy back in 20% higher
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