Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Yellen Sticks To Script: September Still On Deck

Published 07/26/2017, 03:21 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

July's FOMC statement reads very much like the June statement. There were some minor tweaks in the first paragraph that discusses the broad economic performance since the last FOMC statement. There was little change in the assessment of inflation, which was a keen interest to investors. As in June, the Fed recognized that inflation was running below the 2% target and that it would be watched closely.

While there were limited changes in the statement, most of the changes appeared in the paragraph that discussed the balance sheet. The Fed seemed to bring forward its June guidance as it prepares the market for a September announcement.

Specifically, it began the paragraph with a conditional "For the time being..." the Fed will maintain its current practice of reinvesting principal payments. It indicated it would begin the normalization program "relatively soon," which is what Yellen said at the press conference after the June meeting. This is consistent with a September announcement for an October commencement of not reinvesting the maturing proceeds in full.

With little new information in the FOMC statement and no surprises, the passing of the meeting allowed the market to do what it was doing before the calm around the FOMC meeting. Which is to push US rates and the dollar a bit lower. Sterling is posting an outside day and a close above Tuesday's high (~$1.3085) would likely signal a move toward last week's high near $1.3125 at least. The euro rebounded from a test of $1.1615 to retest Tuesday's high (~$1.1710). The pullback in US rates dragged the dollar lower against the yen. The greenback had been near session highs (~JPY112.20) before the FOMC statement. It was sold below JPY111.50.

Original Post

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.