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Even After Hitting Another Record High, Apple Shares Still Have More Upside

Published 06/24/2020, 09:48 AM
Updated 09/02/2020, 02:05 AM

Apple stock surged to a new record high on Tuesday, both intraday and at the close, after recovering from its coronavirus-induced slump in March. Plus, it's clear that investors believe Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has much more ammunition on tap to power its shares even higher. 

AAPL Weekly 2017-2020

The current rally has been so strong during the past three months that the iPhone maker's stock is now trading 24% higher for the year, defying expectations that an economy in recession will turn customers away from Apple's expensive gadgets. Shares closed yesterday at $366.53, up 2.13% for the day.

What’s fueling the recent momentum are the positive aftereffects of Apple’s virtual conference for software makers which took place earlier this week. The event showed that the company still has a lot to offer to keep its growth going. During the event, Apple introduced an array of software additions to its family of gadgets, including the most drastic changes to the iPhone home screen since the product’s release in 2007.

Users will be able to add widgets that sit between the typical grid of apps, which can be set to varying sizes and present information, such as the weather or a calendar, which will update throughout the day. The Apple Watch will get sleep tracking and hand-washing detection tools.

Among the changes, the most exciting was Apple’s decision to sell Mac computers using processors designed in-house, replacing Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) chips. The first Macs with Apple's own chips will be available by the end of the year.

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For users, this means future Mac units will be a lot more like the iPhone or iPad. Its battery life should be longer and the performance better. In addition, the new Mac iteration will have the ability to run iPhone and iPad apps natively.

More Analyst Upgrades For The Stock

These announcements triggered upgrades from Wall Street analysts who follow the stock. The consensus: Apple’s shares have more room to run even after the stock's remarkable rebound this year.

UBS increased its 12- month price target to $400 from $325, representing a near 12% upside from here. In a note on Tuesday, UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri said: 

“Besides improvements to AirPods, most of the announcements were software-related innovations and aimed at using integration to drive even more stickiness of the ecosystem.” 

Bank of America also reiterated its buy rating after the upgrades, with the 12-month price target of $390.

“Perhaps the biggest takeaway from today’s event was the reassurance that Apple is still driving innovation and new ways to use technology hardware and software,” a note from the bank said.

“Whether that is through AirPods incorporating surround sound and spatial audio, the watch supporting more health workouts, tracking user dance movements and tracking sleep.”

Still, it would be wise for investors not to ignore potential risks that could hinder Apple’s near-term growth, especially when the global economy is still in a recession and the COVID-19 pandemic continues to rage.

Keep an eye on whether users are hanging on to their phones longer, or remain keen to upgrade even when the economic environment is harsh. While announcing its Q1 earnings in April, Apple didn't provide guidance, the first time in more than a decade this has occurred, due to the ongoing disruptions from the pandemic.

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Bottom Line

Through its latest upgrades, Apple showed that its innovation machine is working full-time despite coronavirus complications. The Cupertino, California-based company simply continues generating future growth opportunities and more upside for shareholders.

Latest comments

Big disparity between what stocks should do and what they are currently doing right now. That aside, I've always thought AAPL chart and continuing upside is largely a self-fulfilling prophecy. I'll continue to let the trend be my friend as it's both a value story and a cult.
Its trading at 353 today. My view is it will hit 300 rather than 400... lets see.
Haris, thank you for your insights into AAPL. Despite all the criticism AAPL gets for its iPhone sales figures and exposure to China, AAPL continues to plow upwards. Impressive resilience.
There is absolutely no upside to ANY stocks in the stock markets. In fact valuations should drop 25+% just to reflect the actual situation. Thats not even taking into account the forward looking angle. The nexy 12-18 months can see a massive decline in the markets. My prediction is a 40% drop from here. If Biden wins elections that number rises to 50% drop from current levels. I find it extremely irresponsible for any analyst to recommend buying ANYTHING at this moment. I suspect they do so for self fulfilling personal interest. I may be wrong....
Smart money doesn’t care what you think.
what will happen when they buy back all of their stock?
the price will go uo, then the Fed will give them more money and they will keep buying back. It never ends, you have the big fishes happy 🐟
Gravity defying Apple will be a rotten apple soon!
most over valued market in history when it does get corrected. I think "they" will do some lying cook the books and not allow a correction. we will see watch the markets very close.
Pumper...its going down from that crazy high...China is a big problem now...How much did you take on the side for this article....
share buy back is a strategy to push price higher. it was illegal before.
Sure but its a purely psychological strategy to affect investor confidence. Bottom line there is no change to the balance sheet, only a swap of cash to stock. They are essentially betting on themselves to appreciate faster than anything they could invest their cash in.
Can't wait to get my iPhone 12 !!
did you get $25 reparations for being cheated with battery?
No formula of intrinsic value calculation indicates that. It is just overvalued from every angle.
I think so too, they just keep hyping up functionality that its not really monetizable. The upside is on any cost reductions to increase margins by producing chips in house
But they still will be missing out on 20 million customers that are unemployed and very likely to hold onto their old phones no matter what gimmick they add to the new ones
Will their earnings justify the 80 percent rise this year? 😂😂
I doubt and still media Reports and rating Agencies would be like "It's not that bad as we were expecting."
it depends on how much currency will be published by currency publishers.
And if the Beijing Biden got elected, he will increase corp tax, and Apple will get 30% cut.
its not printing money, its "publishing currency".
Democrats want to spend 17 trillion for "reparations". Trump has plenty more to ***
No. Apple will crash back to $300 level due to shrinking hardware sales in 2H 2020
Perhaps the most obvious bubble in history. Thanks for typing this article though.
apple's sales were already in decline. they will certainly decline at a steeper rate now that many people are unemployed. their products are expensive and unnecessary. sell apple stock now before nasdaq gets an overdue 50% haircut.
remember abot the battery hoax
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