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ETFs To Play As Dow Heads To Worst Month Since Great Depression

Published 03/24/2020, 04:48 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The Wall Street bloodbath continued on Monday after U.S. equities witnessed the worst week (ending Mar 20) since the recession of 2008 amid aggravating coronavirus concerns. The Dow Jones lost 3%, followed by the S&P 500’s and Nasdaq Composite’s decline of 2.9% and 0.3% on Mar 23. Despite the Federal Reserve’s initiative to aid the U.S. economy by committing to unlimited bond purchases, the market rout came largely due to the Senate’s second failure to advance a $1.8-trillion coronavirus stimulus package.

The Dow Jones is believed to be plummeting to its worst month since 1931. Notably, 1931 falls within the period of the worst economic crisis in the history of the United States, i.e. the Great Depression.The Dow Jones had tanked 30.7% in September 1931. It is worth noting here that the blue-chip index has already come down to its lowest level since December of 2016 after losing 26.8% in March so far (as of Mar 23). Also, the Dow Jones has witnessed the fastest pace of decline from peak to trough since 1931. It took it 19 trading sessions to enter the bear territory by plunging at least 20% from its record high level noted on Feb 12, 2020.

The rising coronavirus-led shutdowns have been escalating worries among market participants in the United States, as more than 45,000 people have tested positive and 500 have died. All states in the United States and the District of Columbia have confirmed cases of coronavirus. The rapid spread of the virus is leading to sweeping travel bans, and cancellation of large events as well as shutting down of schools, colleges, universities, restaurants and bars and shopping malls. In such a scenario, slowing global economic growth looks inevitable. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) estimates that a recession will hit the U.S. and European economies by this July. According to the financial services company, the U.S. economy might shrink 2% in the first quarter and 3% in the second (read: Coronavirus Panic to Send Economy Into Recession: ETF Picks).

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In such a scenario, investors can take a look at the following ETF areas to combat the ongoing coronavirus crisis:

Treasury ETFs

Investors’ risk-off sentiments, along with the global stimulus packages, in order to protect the economy from the rapidly-aggravating coronavirus outbreak has sparked a huge rally in Treasuries. As such, investors can tap the opportunity by going long on this instrument with the help of ETFs like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) ETF (NZ:TLT) , iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (NYSE:IEF) ETF IEF, iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (ASX:SHV) , iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF SHY and iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF GOVT (read: Bears Grip Market: 5 Safe ETF Investing Zones).

Inverse ETFs

The virus-induced volatility is spurring demand for inverse or inverse-leveraged ETFs. These products either create a short position or a leveraged short position in the underlying index through the use of swaps, options, future contracts and other financial instruments. Due to their compounding impact, investors can earn higher returns in a shorter period of time, provided the trend remains favorable. However, these funds run the risk of huge losses compared with traditional funds in fluctuating markets. So, investors intending to play against the tumbling Dow Jones might tap ProShares Short Dow 30 DOG, ProSharesUltraShort Dow30 DXD and ProSharesUltraPro Short Dow30 SDOW (read: Coronavirus Triggers Market Bloodbath: 7 Hot Inverse ETF Areas).

Consumer Staple ETFs

This non-cyclical sector is likely to be less hammered by any market crash. The sector can emerge as a true safe haven amid the current crisis as even people on self-quarantine need daily essentials. Investors can consider The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund XLP, Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF VDC, iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF IYK and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF RHS (read: Beat Virus With 2 Sector ETFs & Stocks That Survived 2008 Crisis).

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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT): ETF Research Reports

Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE:XLP

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF): ETF Research Reports

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF (RHS): ETF Research Reports

iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT): ETF Research Reports

Proshares Short Dow30 (DOG): ETF Research Reports

Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC): ETF Research Reports

iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV): ETF Research Reports

ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (SDOW): ETF Research Reports

iShares U.S. Consumer Goods ETF (IYK): ETF Research Reports

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY): ETF Research Reports

ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (DXD): ETF Research Reports

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Zacks Investment Research

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