Breaking News

High Level Of Shorts In The Crypo Space

By Mati GreenspanMarket OverviewDec 07, 2018 08:35AM ET
High Level Of Shorts In The Crypo Space
By Mati Greenspan   |  Dec 07, 2018 08:35AM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

As (Bitcoin reaches a new low point for 2018, cryptotraders everywhere are looking for somebody or something to blame. Well, a recent report that was sent to me by the folks at Cryptocompare may have stumbled upon something.

The CCCAGG Exchange Review takes a good hard look at global volumes on crypto exchanges and where they're coming from. One of the findings of the report is the incredible impact of a series of promotions from the Korean exchange Bithumb.

This chart plots out these promotions against bitcoin's price and as you can see, bitcoin's break below $6,000 came shortly after the promotion ended.

Bithumb BTC
Bithumb BTC

If these findings are indeed accurate, I would say that blaming South Korea for the drop wouldn't exactly be correct. More likely, it appears that the volume promotion by Bithumb caused several months of stabilization in prices, to begin with.

Of course, it's just a theory at this point. True or not, we maintain that all of the recent volatility in the crypto markets has been driven by technical factors. After the breakout of $5,000, we mentioned light support at $3,500, which has now been broken. The next key area of support that is being tested now is $3,000.

Let's hope it holds.

Today's Highlights

Here Come the Cavalry

Jobs Numbers Today

Entering Support Zone

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of December 7th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

As we've been discussing in these daily market updates pretty much since I started writing them in 2015, is the enormous effect that central banks have over financial markets.

This year's volatility can almost solely be attributed to the fact that the Fed and the ECB are on a path to tighten monetary policy. The obvious sideshow of the global trade war has had a slight impact as well.

Well, recent updates from the Fed seem to indicate that they're willing to reconsider this tightening. Last night Chairman Powell delivered a speech that has been largely interpreted as dovish.

It seems that weeks of market declines and possibly tweets from the president have finally caused the Fed to blink.


Today has been pretty green for the stock markets, presumably in response to Powell's updates. However, other markets are giving signals too.

Gold for example, reached a fresh high yesterday seeing $1,244 an ounce for the first time since July. The move was quickly retraced but as you can see it has been building a solid support line since.

Gold Chart
Gold Chart

Crude Oil also remains a hot topic as the OPEC meeting in Vienna continues. The feeling there is that a concrete deal is unlikely, but it won't be for lack of trying.

Oil has been testing its psychological support level of $50 a barrel for the better part of two weeks now.

Jobs Day

Very soon we'll receive data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics known as the Non-farm payrolls. Those who've been in the markets for a bit know that this is the most important figure that comes out on a daily basis.

Usually, if the numbers come out significantly higher or lower than analysts are estimating, there can be a large reaction from the market. What does seem odd is that said analysts seem to be getting lazy.

For an entire year now, the analyst forecast (gold dot) has always been just under 200,000 jobs added. With that, the actual results either surprise or they don't.


The market reaction to the numbers today will be tricky. A strong job market might actually cause investors to sell because it might mean that the Fed will become hawkish again.

High Shorts

The crypto markets have now passed several dismal milestones. Ethereum, for example, is now firmly trading below $100 per coin and even experienced a flash crash today on one exchange.

Another milestone is a new high for short positions on the Bitfinex platform. In this chart, we can see BTC short positions in blue against the bitcoin price in orange.


This might not be as concerning as you would think though. A high level of shorts in a specific market can often be an indication that the trend is about to reverse.

If all the equity available to short is currently doing so, then it's not possible to add more short positions, which could possibly be a good setup for a short squeeze as we approach the critical level of $3,000.

As always, let me know if you have any questions, comments, or further insight. I'm always happy to hear it. Wishing you a very pleasant weekend.


eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Disclosure: This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose.

High Level Of Shorts In The Crypo Space
High Level Of Shorts In The Crypo Space

Add a Comment

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind: 

  • Enrich the conversation
  • Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
  • Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
  •  Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
  • Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
  • Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
  • Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at’s discretion.

Write your thoughts here
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
Post also to:
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Add Chart to Comment
Confirm Block

Are you sure you want to block %USER_NAME%?

By doing so, you and %USER_NAME% will not be able to see any of each other's's posts.

%USER_NAME% was successfully added to your Block List

Since you’ve just unblocked this person, you must wait 48 hours before renewing the block.

Report this comment

I feel that this comment is:

Comment flagged

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review
Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.
Continue with Google
Sign up with Email