Get 40% Off
🤯 This Tech Portfolio is up 29% YTD! Join Now to Get April’s Top PicksGet The Picks – Just 99 USD

Draghi Scores And Cryptos Celebrate

Published 06/18/2018, 04:46 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Finally some much-needed clarity!

Just when some feared all was lost and crypto prices were showing signs of a potential plunge, some exciting news was delivered from the SEC in the United States, bringing with it the kind of optimism that we haven't seen in months.

The crypto markets are now celebrating and have given a strong push off the lows.

It seems the title of yesterday's daily market update "A Crypto U-turn" was more appropriate than originally intended.

Let's examine the impact of the SEC's decision below.

Today's Highlights

Draghi Scores a Goal

Tiki-taka Stocks

Ethereum Uncertainty Removed

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of June 15th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.

Traditional Markets

It was a perfect play by the European Central Bank. They've been worrying for months about the strength of the Euro and finally, at the 90th minute, they managed to pull off a power play that brought the ball all the way to the goal line.

The timing was impeccable. On Wednesday, the ECB's counterpart in the United States announced a more aggressive monetary policy and plans to raise their interest rates more rapidly than expected.

At the same time, a decision was expected from the ECB to end their "money printing" stimulus package very soon.

During the press conference yesterday, the ECB not only confirmed the market's expectations by announcing an end to the stimulus as of September but they also surprised everyone by indicating that they will not be raising their interest rates until the summer of 2019.

See, while everyone was concentrating on the striker (stimulus) and expecting him to kick the ball into the goalkeeper's hands, he actually kicked it to his teammate (interest rates) who nobody was watching.

They haven't quite won the match just yet though. Looking at the chart of the EURUSD, we can see that they failed to carry the Euro below the critical level of $1.15 and therefore any further downward pressure will be difficult to maintain.

EURUSD Chart

Tiki-taka Stocks

The new policy divergence doesn't seem to be affecting the stocks too much and with the US trade war expected to be notched up today, it seems they have other things on their mind.

Here's a graph of the Dow Jones, which has been moving back and forth for most of this year without any real progress. Notice how it's just taken a turn downward, towards the 50-day moving average (blue line).

DJ30 Chart

Crypto Celebration!!!

The reaction from the crypto market yesterday was one of delayed gratification. In the United States, the authorities have been particularly ambiguous about the legal status of cryptocurrencies over the last few years.

While it was rather clear that Bitcoin itself should not be classified as a "security" the status of coins like Ether and Ripple's XRP has remained a question. If a token is considered a security, it has some rather extreme implications for any person or business who traded it, including sizable fines and even the possibility of jail time for hodlers.

So, yesterday's headline was certainly a cause for celebration.

SEC

The reaction was quick and clear across the entire crypto industry. Here we can see all of the cryptocurrencies traded on the eToro platform

ETHEREUM

Even though gravity does seem to be getting the better of the cryptos this morning, the announcement couldn't have come at a better time. Here we can see the long-term chart of Ethereum and the beautiful bounce off the long-term trend line that the news has caused.

ETHEREUM

Now that Amecia seemingly has the freedom and security to trade Ether, this paves the way for big institutions like the CBOE and others to add Ethereum futures to their crypto offerings.

Let's have a fantastic weekend!!

@MatiGreenspan

eToro, Senior Market Analyst

Disclosure: This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.