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Despite Data, Homebuilders' Technicals Indicate A Breakdown

By Chris KimbleStock MarketsApr 03, 2013 04:02PM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/despite-data,-homebuilders'-technicals-indicate-a-breakdown-161519
Despite Data, Homebuilders' Technicals Indicate A Breakdown
By Chris Kimble   |  Apr 03, 2013 04:02PM ET
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DJI
-0.38%
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SRS
-1.94%
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IMOB
-3.68%
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Housing lead the economy and the broad markets down back in 2006-2009. The DJ Home Construction index has created a multi-year, bearish rising-wedge pattern, with the apex of the pattern at its 38% Fibonacci retracement level at point 1 below.

Two-thirds of the time the result of this pattern is lower prices. The chart to the right is the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index Fund (ITB) -- the homebuilders ETF -- which is breaking support at point 2.
Construction Index And Homebuilders ETF
Construction Index And Homebuilders ETF

Beyond Important
So just as housing goes, so, too, goes the broader markets and the economy. What this sector does over the next few weeks is beyond important for the broad markets.

If the breakdown continues, look for the ProShares UltraShort Real Estate fund (SRS) to do rather well in the weeks ahead.
Despite Data, Homebuilders' Technicals Indicate A Breakdown
 

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Despite Data, Homebuilders' Technicals Indicate A Breakdown

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Comments (1)
Chris Lem
Chris Lem Apr 03, 2013 9:51PM ET
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Let's be frank, the data is not that great. Four years into a "recovery" and the U.S. cannot get two, three months of consecutive positive data. If the Fed was not in this, we'd be 50-80 pts. off the current mark. Three trillion in stimulus, the U.S. shouldn't be posting .5% GDP - that's garbage.
 
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