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Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : January 19 ,2017

Published 01/18/2017, 02:08 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.57; (P) 137.36; (R1) 138.26;

A temporary low is in place at 136.44 and intraday bias in turned neutral first. Deeper decline is still expected with 142.16 support turned resistance intact. Whole corrective rise from 122.36 could have completed at 148.42. Below 136.44 will target 61.8% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 132.31 and below. Though, above 142.16 will turn focus back to 148.42 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Upside is so far limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range. At this point, we don't expect a break of 122.36 in near term and the corrective pattern would extend for a while.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.31; (P) 120.85; (R1) 121.17;

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains cautiously on the downside for 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Whole corrective rebound from 109.20 is likely completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 key resistance. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below. On the upside, above 122.41 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, outlook will now stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

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EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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