Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.72; (P) 130.34; (R1) 131.47;
EUR/JPY;’s break of 130.86 resistance confirmed resumption of rise from 124.89. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 131.97 resistance and then key fibonacci resistance at 132.56. On the downside, break of 129.43 is needed to be the first signal of short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will now remain cautiously bullish even in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turned support, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) remains in favor to continue. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.54; (P) 146.18; (R1) 147.36;
As noted before, the break of 38.2% retracement of 156.59 to 139.88 at 146.26 suggests that whole decline from 156.59 has completed at 139.88, just ahead of 139.29/47 key support zone. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 149.30 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 144.66 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. Focus remains on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).
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