EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5642; (P) 1.5760; (R1) 1.5831;
EUR/AUD’s decline extends to as low as 1.5660 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Break of channel support indicates acceleration and raises the chance of medium term reversal. Focus will be on 1.5621 key support. On the upside, break of 1.5774 support turned resistance is needed to be first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, deeper will still be in favor in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8729; (P) 0.8756; (R1) 0.8781;
Despite dipping through 0.8727 support, EUR/GBP was supported by near term channel and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Near term outlook also remains rather mixed. On the downside, break of 0.8679 support should confirm completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support. Whole decline from 0.9305 will likely be resuming too. On the upside, above 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963)
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
