EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5703; (P) 1.5780; (R1) 1.5902;
EUR/AUD drew strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5886 at 1.5651 and rebounded. Despite a breach of 1.5886 resistance, there was no follow through selling yet. Intraday bias is neutral first. Now, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5651 support holds. Break of 1.5888 will resume the rise from 1.5271 and target 1.6139/89 resistance zone.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5217 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1619; (P) 1.1630; (R1) 1.1647;
For now, we’re favoring the case that corrective rise from 1.1366 has completed with three waves up to 1.1713 already. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.1668 minor resistance holds, to 1.1478 support first. Break there will likely resume the whole corrective fall from 1.2004 through 1.1366 low. On the upside, above 1.1668 will bring another rise. But in the case, we’d continue to expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to bring near term reversal.
In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. Hence, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.
