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Bullish Or Bearish: SPY Chart Facts

Published 01/07/2016, 08:22 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Sell-off continues in the market this week with even more decline today.

Concerning for bulls? Yes. But it was concerning for the bears in late-October of this year.

So. instead of getting swept away by fear or emotion, let's see what the charts has to say about the action we are seeing.

N:SPY PRIMARY UPTREND

SPY Daily-Chart 2009 - Today

  • We are now back at the primary-term uptrend support level (see arrows)
  • This is the level buyers would need to see immediate bounce before the bears completely take over
  • Technically speaking, this still is the vicinity of potential higher-low in the intermediate-term (meaning, if we bounce from here, it could still served as a higher-low)

COMPARISON

SPY Daily-Chart 2011SPY Daily-Chart 2015

  • Back in late-2011, "Last Level of Fib." was the important level to watch
  • Today, we are right on the "Last Level of Fib." which is an important level to watch
  • Last few months, price-action does look concerning (bearish) and looks heavy (the way it fell), meaning, sentiment is pretty bearish as of today
  • Psychologically speaking, the market will test the limits of the bulls and bears to its most extreme level before it makes its decision of the direction -- in early November (just few months ago), it looks like the market was ready to thrive back up; but today, it looks like the market is ready to crash = "extreme levels"
  • Next 3-5 trading days will be very important as we are trading at a extreme pivotal level

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