As I was writing today’s blog, I thought I had a deja-vu for a moment. It turns out it wasn’t deja-vu because it actually happened. The day was Jan. 29, 2018. The story; 4 Stocks That Are Signaling The Stock Market Is Ready To Fall. In that story, I noted how the RSIs of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) all had very overbought RSIs. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) was in the mix for other reasons. Of course, things got really ugly after that through Feb. 8.
The same thing is emerging today, with the biggest stocks all reaching very overbought reading. On the surface, stocks did a bunch of nothing today, rising by around 10 bps. It really wasn’t a great day, and if not for Apple, the index probably would have been down. The S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF (NYSE:RSP) was actually down about 15 bps today, so that’s evidence enough.
But remember what I wrote above.
NASDAQ 100
The NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) managed to finish the day with an RSI of 75.5, a pretty high reading, well not pretty high, very high. I will mention this again, in case you have not seen it from me enough. When the QQQ RSI gets this high, the outcomes are not good most of the time, including January 2018.
Apple
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is no different, with an RSI, back over 80. This is not a sustainable level.
Microsoft
Microsoft is no different, with an RSI currently at 76.1, coupled with the completion of its 5 waves up.
Alphabet
As it is for Alphabet with RSI of 73 and rising wedge pattern.
Amazon
As is Amazon, with its now lower reading of 70 on the RSI.
NVIDIA
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) may be leading the charge, as it was one of the first stocks to break higher. Now it is one of the first stocks to break down. The stock’s RSI, after hitting 83, has now broken an uptrend which started on May 19 with an RSI that is clearly trending lower. Could the shares fall back to $650 very easily, based on technical and fundamentals.
ARKK
Finally, who can forget the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE:ARKK). Its RSI reached 76 while failing miserably at resistance around $131.
Anyway, I will leave you with that. I will be back as soon as I can.