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30% Cheaper, Is Amazon Stock A Buy?

Published 09/26/2022, 01:40 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
  • Amazon stock has nearly shed all its pandemic gains
  • It's hard to call a bottom yet for the stock, given the uncertain macroeconomic environment
  • However, Amazon continues to seek acquisitions, diversifying its market presence
  • So far this year, Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) is the worst-performing stock in the trillion-dollar-market-cap club that includes Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG). The Seattle-based giant's shares have lost about 30% of their value in the past 12 months. AMZN Weekly Chart

    The steep decline has deprived the company's investors of almost all pandemic gains. However, it remains hard to call a bottom for the stock as interest rate hikes keep hitting stocks like Amazon by diminishing the value of their future earnings. Furthermore, inflation is driving up costs, while a stronger dollar is hurting overseas profits.

    With a market cap of $1.18 trillion, the Seattle-based Amazon remains the U.S.'s fourth-most valuable company, trailing Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet. Despite investors' nervousness and the market volatility, I remain bullish on AMZN's growth prospects and expect shares to rebound in the months ahead.

    While Amazon's core e-commerce business has been struggling with high costs and slowing growth in consumer demand, the company's other units continue to show strong growth.

    Revenue for Amazon Web Services grew 33% in the second quarter to $19.7 billion. Amazon's advertising business, which the company recently began breaking out financial data, grew 18% to $8.8 billion in the quarter.

    Amazon 10-Year Revenue Growth

    Source: InvestingPro

    Belt-Tightening After Massive Expansion

    Considering its healthy balance sheet, high free cash flows, and highly diversified business model, it's not difficult to see that Amazon remains in a solid position to withstand the current hostile economic environment.

    Furthermore, the company has been taking steps to curb expenses. The total workforce at Amazon shrank by about 100,000 in the second quarter, and the company is cutting back on warehouse space as Chief Executive Officer Andy Jassy unwinds a pandemic-era expansion amid slowing growth. Fulfillment expenses rose less than analysts projected last quarter.

    Despite this belt-tightening era, Amazon isn't letting growth opportunities pass. It continues to seek acquisitions that further strengthen its market position and diversify its revenues away from its core e-commerce business.

    During the past quarter, Amazon announced the buyout of virtual healthcare company One Medical for $3.49 billion and iRobot Corp., maker of the Roomba vacuum, for $1.65 billion, receiving praises from analysts who see long-term value in these deals.

    Amazon's leading position in many areas in which it operates is the main reason that most Wall Street analysts rate its stock a buy. In an Investing.com poll of 54 analysts, 49 rate the stock as a buy, with their consensus 12-month price target showing a 51.68% upside.

    AMZN Consensus Estimates

    Source: Investing.com

    Of course, owning Amazon still comes at a price, even though the stock has gotten cheaper this year. The stock sells for 47 times the earnings projected over the next 12 months. The Nasdaq 100, by contrast, has an average multiple of about half that.

    Still, betting on the company has been hugely profitable for long-term investors, with its stock surging about 900% during the past decade.

    Bottom Line

    Amazon stock has been the worst performer among the largest mega-cap tech giants in the bear market. But the giant's long-term investment appeal remains intact, given its dominance in e-commerce and explosive growth in its cloud and advertising businesses. On the way up, AMZN is well positioned to outperform its peers, in my view.

    Disclosure: At the time of writing, the author is long on AMZN, AAPL, and MSFT. The views expressed in this article are solely the opinion of the author and should not be taken as investment advice.

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Latest comments

Waiting until the S&P botoms out is a good idea
amazon will be a buy after it files bankruptcy. just like when gm did.
Companies stocks that split, shares seem to return to previous level before split in the upcoming years. example TSLA
Nibble with fractional shares. Will it be higher in the future? Market history says yes.
Amazon is technically bankrupt. do your due diligence.
Buy when there is blood in the streets or the VIX is above 50.
Is there already enough blood in the streets to buy AMZN?
1000081366083
I agree that Amazon will weather the economic problems. We don’t how far the Fed is willing to go with their rate hikes and that mesnd all the big tech againts can still go down significantly.
not yet. Let it drop a little more
No its not, maybe a buy at $30
So the real question is.... how much money have you lost so far on AMZN, AAPL, and MSFT?
100 AAPL at 23 after the 4/1 split. MSFT  50 at 52. Apr of 2016. 1 AMZN at 113.50 after the 20/1 split.
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