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3 Charts on the Health of U.S. Employment

By Raoul PalMarket OverviewMar 14, 2023 03:29AM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/3-weekly-charts-that-make-you-go-hmmm-200636195

By Raoul Pal | Mar 14, 2023 03:29AM ET

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In this piece, we’re going to run through some of this week’s important data releases and give our initial thoughts on the recent collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Let’s dive right into the economic data first.

1. Percentage of U.S. Industries Reporting Negative Growth in Job Openings YoY

This week, the updated Job Openings data for January showed a big jump in the % of U.S. Industries Reporting Negative Growth in Job Openings, up to 74% from 57% in December – the highest level since November 2020 and in clear recession territory.

% of US Industries Reporting Negative Growth

2. JOLTS Job Openings YoY% vs. Chicago, Richmond, and Philly Average PMI

The deterioration in Job Openings will also likely continue over the next couple of months.

Job Openings YoY% vs Chicago, Richmond, and Philly Average PMI

3. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls MoM vs. Challenger US Job Cut Announcements YoY%

Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at 311k (225k estimate) for the month of February though there remains an ominous gap with Challenger Job Cuts, which came in still extremely elevated at 410% year-on-year.

US Nonfarm Payrolls MoM vs Challenger US Job Cut Announcements

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3 Charts on the Health of U.S. Employment

1. Percentage of U.S. Industries Reporting Negative Growth in Job Openings YoY

2. JOLTS Job Openings YoY% vs. Chicago, Richmond, and Philly Average PMI

3. U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls MoM vs. Challenger US Job Cut Announcements YoY%

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