Breaking News
Get Actionable Insights with InvestingPro+: Start 7 Day FREE Trial Register here
Investing Pro 0
Ad-Free Version. Upgrade your Investing.com experience. Save up to 40% More details

3 C3.ai Stock Trades For Investors Expecting The AI Sector To Take Off

By Investing.com (Tezcan Gecgil/Investing.com )Stock MarketsJan 27, 2022 08:21AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/3-c3ai-stock-trades-for-investors-expecting-the-ai-sector-to-take-off-200616074
3 C3.ai Stock Trades For Investors Expecting The AI Sector To Take Off
By Investing.com (Tezcan Gecgil/Investing.com )   |  Jan 27, 2022 08:21AM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This article has already been saved in your Saved Items
 
  • Shares of artificial intelligence firm C3.ai are down more than 20% in January
  • Despite recent overall declines in tech shares, C3.ai has also come under pressure following Q2 FY22 financials
  • Long-term investors could consider investing around $22.

Shares of enterprise-level AI software group C3.ai (NYSE:AI) have declined about 83% in the past 52 weeks and about 20.5% since the start of the new year. By comparison, the Dow Jones US Software Index returned about 10.2% in the past 12 months, but declined 15.3% in January.

AI Weekly TTM
AI Weekly TTM

C3.ai, whose platform enables companies to build AI-powered applications, went public in December 2020, and started trading at $100. In a couple of weeks the stock hit a record high just shy of $185, a level that is now rapidly fading in the rear-view mirror.

AI stock closed at $23.46 on Wednesday. The 52-week range has been $22.56 - 176.94, while the market capitalization stands at $2.3 billion.

Digitalization trends during the pandemic have put machine learning and AI in the spotlight. Recent metrics suggest:

“Global artificial intelligence (AI) software revenue is forecast to reach $62.5 billion in 2022, an increase of 21.3 per cent from 2021.”

As a result, big tech names like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) are putting significant resources into the segment.

Meanwhile, smaller names like C3.ai are also developing their own technology and software platforms. Other AI stocks Wall Street watches include Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR), Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK), Uipath (NYSE:PATH) and Upstart (NASDAQ:UPST).

On Dec. 1, 2021, C3.ai issued second-quarter fiscal 2022 metrics. Revenue was $58.3 million, up 41% year-over-year. Of that amount, subscription revenue was $47.4 million, up 32% YoY. Adjusted net loss per share was 23 cents.

Its most important customer is the oil services group Baker Hughes (NYSE:BKR). In total, C3.ai had 104 customers during the quarter, up 63% from a year ago.

On the results, CEO Thomas M. Siebel said:

We expanded our important relationship with Baker Hughes extending the contract term, significantly increasing its value, and securing that value as a guaranteed future C3 AI revenue stream.”

Prior to the release of its quarterly results, AI stock was trading around $35. On Jan. 24, it hit a record low of $22.56. Now, C3.ai shares are at $23.46.

What To Expect From C3.ai Stock

Among 10 analysts polled via Investing.com, AI stock has a “neutral" rating.

Analysts also have a 12-month median price target of $56.44 for the stock, implying an increase of more than 140% from current levels. The 12-month price range currently stands between $31 and $103.

Consensus Estimates of Analysts Polled By Investing.com.
Consensus Estimates of Analysts Polled By Investing.com.

Source: Investing.com

However, according to a number of valuation models, like those that might consider P/E or P/S multiples or terminal values, the average fair value for AI stock via InvestingPro stands at $27.45.

Fair Value Models by InvestingPro.
Fair Value Models by InvestingPro.

Source: InvestingPro

In other words, fundamental valuation suggests shares could increase around 17%.

We can also look at C3.ai’s financial health as determined by ranking more than 100 factors against peers in the information technology sector.

AI Financial Health
src=

Source: InvestingPro

In terms of cash flow and growth, it scores 2 out of 5. However, its overall score of 1 points to a weak performance ranking.

At present, AI stock’s P/B and P/S ratios are 2.5x and 11.9x. In comparison, those metrics for its peers stand at 8.2x and 11.5x. Put another way, despite the recent correction in prices of many tech shares, the industry does not yet offer great value.

Still, according to the Brookings Institution, more than 40 countries now have AI strategic plans. Therefore, the AI segment will likely be on Wall Street’s radar in the coming quarters. We expect many investors to take advantage of the significant declines in shares like C3.ai.

Adding AI Stock To Portfolios

C3.ai bulls who are not concerned about short-term volatility could consider buying into the declines. Their target price would be $27.45, which is the fair value indicated by InvestingPro.

Alternatively, investors could consider buying an exchange traded fund (ETF) that has AI stock as a holding. Examples would include:

  • ProShares S&P Kensho Smart Factories ETF (NYSE:MAKX)
  • Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (NASDAQ:BOTZ)
  • Robo Global® Artificial Intelligence ETF (NYSE:THNQ)
  • iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Growth ETF (NYSE:ISCG)

Finally, investors who believe the decline in C3.ai stock will come to an end soon might consider selling a cash-secured put option in AI stock—a strategy we regularly cover. As it involves options, this set-up is not appropriate for all investors.

Cash-Secured Put Selling

Such a bullish trade could especially appeal to those who want to receive premiums (from put selling) or to possibly own AI shares for less than their current market price at $23.46.

This strategy may be appropriate when investors are slightly bullish or neutral on C3.ai stock at this time. Selling cash-secured put options on AI would generate income as the seller receives a premium.

For instance, if investors sold the $22.50 strike put that expires on Apr. 14, they could collect about $2.65 in premiums. Therefore, the maximum return for the seller on the day of expiry would be $265, excluding trading commissions and costs, if the option expires worthless.

If the put option is in the money (meaning AI stock is lower than the strike price of $22.50) any time before or at expiration on April 14, this put option can be assigned.

The put seller would then be obligated to buy 100 shares of C3.ai stock at the put option strike price of $22.50 for a total of $2,250 per contract. In that case, the trader ends up owning AI stock for $22.50 per share.

If the put seller gets assigned AI shares, the maximum risk is similar to that of stock ownership (in other words, the stock could theoretically fall to zero) but is partially offset by the premium received ($265 for 100 shares).

The break-even point for our example is the strike price ($22.50) less the option premium received ($2.65), i.e., $19.85. This is the price at which the seller would start to incur a loss.

Cash-secured put selling is a moderately more conservative strategy than buying shares of a company outright at the current market price. This can be a way to capitalize on any choppiness in C3.ai stock in the coming weeks, especially around the earnings release.

Investors who end up owning AI shares as a result of selling puts could further consider setting up covered calls to increase the potential returns on their shares. Thus, selling cash-secured puts could be regarded as the first step in stock ownership.

Bottom Line

Shares of the enterprise AI software company C3.ai are well off record highs of almost $185 seen in December 2020. Wall Street has been concerned about the company's lack of a clear path to profitability as well as the overreliance on Baker Hughes, its biggest customer.

As most tech shares get ready to end a month to forget, AI stock now offers better value for long-term investors. Therefore, interested readers with a two- to three-year time horizon could consider buying the dip in C3.ai stock.

3 C3.ai Stock Trades For Investors Expecting The AI Sector To Take Off
 

Related Articles

Tim Knight
Holy Frijoles By Tim Knight - May 20, 2022 4

I’ve never liked Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) food, and it’s heartening to see that about $800 has already been blown off of its absurd (former) $2,000/share price. I’d say it has precious...

3 C3.ai Stock Trades For Investors Expecting The AI Sector To Take Off

Add a Comment

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:  

  •            Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.

  •           Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed. 

  •           Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.

  • Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
  • Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
  • Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
  • Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

Write your thoughts here
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
Post also to:
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.
Comments (4)
عدي الحارون الحارون
عدي الحارون الحارون Jan 30, 2022 5:28PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
good like
Mohd Izhar Muslim
Mohd Izhar Muslim Jan 27, 2022 6:40PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
Thank you for the article 👍
Kone Kiambwa
Kone Kiambwa Jan 27, 2022 1:06PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
so how can starting to doing
Ibrahim Bellosalisu
Ibrahim Bellosalisu Jan 27, 2022 1:06PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
so how can starting to doing
Jane Doe
Jane Doe Jan 27, 2022 10:21AM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
Is this article another price manipulation for C3.ai? More than likely yes. Investors will buy in at $22 and C3.ai will go to $15.
DH HM
DH HM Jan 27, 2022 10:21AM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
Reading the article today...and it's less than 15$ lol Didn't buy a lot but can't wait to get out.
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Add Chart to Comment
Confirm Block

Are you sure you want to block %USER_NAME%?

By doing so, you and %USER_NAME% will not be able to see any of each other's Investing.com's posts.

%USER_NAME% was successfully added to your Block List

Since you’ve just unblocked this person, you must wait 48 hours before renewing the block.

Report this comment

I feel that this comment is:

Comment flagged

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review
Continue with Google
or
Sign up with Email