Please try another search
Fed Interest Rate Decision May 01, 2024 02:00PM ET
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
5.00 - 5.25 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 90.7% | 90.7% | 88.3% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
4.75 - 5.00 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 55.2% | 55.2% | 62.8% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 39.6% | 39.6% | 29.4% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
4.50 - 4.75 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 25.9% | 25.9% | 34.0% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 48.7% | 48.7% | 46.9% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 23.2% | 23.2% | 15.4% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
4.25 - 4.50 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 19.2% | 19.2% | 27.9% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 42.3% | 42.3% | 44.3% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 30.4% | 30.4% | 21.7% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
4.00 - 4.25 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 15.4% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 36.1% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 33.1% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 19.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
3.75 - 4.00 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 23.6% | 23.6% | 30.2% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 34.9% | 34.9% | 33.9% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 24.8% | 24.8% | 18.3% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
3.50 - 3.75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 15.0% | 15.0% | 20.6% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 29.1% | 29.1% | 32.0% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 26.3% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 11.7% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 21.4% | 21.4% | 25.8% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 29.5% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 24.0% | 24.0% | 19.6% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
3.00 - 3.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 15.7% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 25.8% | 25.8% | 27.5% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 24.9% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.0% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 17.3% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 25.9% | 25.9% | 27.2% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.8% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
---|---|---|---|
2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
3.00 - 3.25 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% |
3.25 - 3.50 | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% |
3.50 - 3.75 | 14.7% | 14.7% | 16.8% |
3.75 - 4.00 | 23.7% | 23.7% | 25.3% |
4.00 - 4.25 | 25.3% | 25.3% | 24.7% |
4.25 - 4.50 | 17.9% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
4.50 - 4.75 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
4.75 - 5.00 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
5.00 - 5.25 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
5.25 - 5.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Investing.com - The Japanese yen has hit its lowest level against the U.S. dollar for over 30 years, inviting speculation from financial analysts about whether possible intervention is on the...
Investing.com - U.S. equity markets have been buoyant as the first quarter nears its end, but UBS warns that investors need to position their portfolios for the next stage amid the possibility that...
Investing.com-- Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose in morning trade on Friday, notching a record high above key levels as investors remained largely upbeat over the Bank of Japan remaining accommodative in...
Gold's strong trend weakened due to a strong US dollar, causing mild bearish price action. Dollar's strength, driven by external factors and positive US economic indicators, weighed on gold. Despite...
Fed remains on course for 3 interest rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, SNB has surprised the market with an interest rate cut. And, the Bank of England won't rush a pivot. In 2024, invest like the big...
Post the Fed's dovish-leaning meeting, stocks, gold, and bonds surged, with yields dipping, prompting speculation about whether the post-Fed rally will last. For the QQQ, attention is on critical...