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Dow closes up to make it seven in a row, as jobs data boosts rate-cut hopes

Published 05/09/2024, 05:55 AM
Updated 05/09/2024, 06:35 PM
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 8, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
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By David French

(Reuters) -The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher on Thursday, the seventh straight daily advance for the benchmark, as all three major U.S. indexes gained after weekly jobless claims data offered fresh hope for interest-rate cuts.

U.S. Federal Reserve policy has been the main driver of investor sentiment in 2024. Renewed hopes the central bank will cut rates have pushed the Dow to its biggest rally since December. It closed at its highest since April 1.

Other benchmarks also benefited. After a flat day on Wednesday, the S&P 500 resumed its upward trajectory and closed above 5,200 points for the first time since April 9.

U.S. equity markets have clawed back losses incurred during April on fears the Fed may ultimately raise interest rates, and as tensions in the Middle East threatened to escalate.

"We've almost had a full recovery of that," said Brad Bernstein, managing director at UBS Private Wealth Management.

For the quarter thus far, the Dow is 1.1% lower, the S&P 500 is 0.8% down and the Nasdaq Composite is off 0.2%.

While next week's producer and consumer prices readings are regarded as the next key signpost, other data have buoyed investor rate-cut hopes.

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased more than expected to a seasonally adjusted 231,000 last week, data showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 215,000 claims.

Last week's data showing slowing job growth in April and job openings falling to a three-year low in March had investors pricing in one or two rate cuts by the Fed this year. Prior to that, traders were pricing in just one rate cut.

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Declining U.S. Treasury yields also supported stocks since higher rates offer investors less risk while also making borrowing to fuel growth more expensive. The yield on the 10-year note was at 4.46% on Thursday, down from 4.7% two weeks ago.

"In the last few days, we've had some interesting events which have really helped calm the bond market," said Bernstein, noting factors including the U.S. Treasury and Fed announcing plans to buy Treasuries.

Lower yields are particularly supportive for tech megacap stocks, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) META.O> rose between 0.6% and 1%.

The S&P 500 gained 26.41 points, or 0.51%, to 5,214.08 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 43.51 points, or 0.27%, to 16,346.27. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 331.37 points, or 0.85%, to 39,387.76.

Ten of the 11 major S&P sectors rose, led by a 2.3% rise in the real estate index. Data center operator Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX) surged 11.5% after its first-quarter results.

On the flip side, chip designer Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) dipped 2.3% as its full-year revenue forecast came in below expectations. Bigger rival Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), which is still to report this earnings season, slipped 1.8%.

Roblox slumped 22.1% after the video-gaming platform cut its annual bookings forecast, in a sign that people were dialing back spending amid an uncertain economic outlook and elevated levels of inflation.

Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD) Markets was 3.1% lower, despite the online brokerage beating estimates for first-quarter profit, thanks to robust crypto trading volumes and rate hikes that boosted its net interest revenue.

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Meanwhile, Spirit Airlines (NYSE:SAVE) jumped 12.9%, having hit a record low earlier this week.

Latest comments

Just imagine how rate cuts hopes and stocks will will soar when everyone is out of a job and there are even more homeless
Any news is a rate cut news.......
Your best observation yet!
Evidence of stagflation will be confirmed by bad CPI data next week.
The rate cut hype will die soon
Still strong after 6 months
biden has been trying, along with the fed, to clean up the economic mess left behind by the the previous administration; but all we hear from Trump's maga crowd how what's left of these problems, is everyone else's fault. do these maga supporters seriously believe that trump , with his proven incompetent behavior, can solve any kind of serious economic problems, especially the ones he's created.
True on part of it but biden also made it much worse on top of that
heh...good one
Once Biden loses the election, the crash will finally come. Then Biden will laugh because Trump will have to clean up the mess.
The greatest financial fraud in history, and biggest investment joke in the world financially defiles America in broad daylight again.
you are repeating yourself, change the disc.
We all know that any cuts in interest rates are highly unlikely with the general elections coming in just 5-6 months.
If Biden wins 2nd term, the US economy will continue to outperform other economies and the Fed will need to delay 1st cut, which right now is already gonna happen later than other economies' 1st cuts. If Trump wins, the Fed should already be cutting.
*yawn* Rate cut hope again?
I had a killer day. I'll swaning tonight
Again, who cares?
After all the April volatility and selling, all the major indices are back near all time highs. It's not justified. Too many weak forecasts this round of earnings. My brain can't get around it. Algos have become very savvy! I've been making money on calls, but I'm gonna have to switch up. I honestly don't see anything on the horizon to push NASDAQ to a new high. They'll sell and rebuild again. Best of luck at the Wall St. Casino.
With vix at 13 there is not much to do. Bearish calendar spreads maybe after few more green days
They are looking to sell in May, and it's better to sell at heights.
freaking $$$ geyser today...cheers
Are you 10 years old? Nobody cares about unfounded claims of how much money you've made today.
What rate cut hopes literally powell said he lost hope in rate cuts this year they tryna cap in the article and I am neutral when it comes to the market but based on the data and what the fed is saying this article is whack lol
I tell I see grown men (or bears as it is) walk up to me crying about how they got out of the stock market because I said it would crash if I lost. But under Biden it is doing so well. They tell me with tears in their eyes that they now understand I am a fraud. T university, T foundation, T organization, T empolyees and now T stock are all seen as frauds.
A load of B.
is the market only dependant on rate cuts? so if they do cut then markets will just go up forever? all I have been reading for the past year is that every time markets go up it's only because of rate cut hopes!
These 'senior analysts' get paid for bringing uneducated to the market. It always ends up the same, which is uneducated lemings falling out of the skyscrapers.
You didn't read anything about earnings?
@AIA: Lemmings, unlike mice, can't survive inside a skyscraper, anyway.
Silver looking about halfway there...
Wage growth chart which pulled back since 2022 is now ready to rip higher for the ones who have jobs.
Another tightrope walk, as the intraday volatility magically vanishes in the BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
markets do that all the time...if you bothered to trade you would know that
No. VIX1D has been trending up all day.
Astonishing to witness buying at these high levels..I'm not sure if the bubble does even exist.. Sorry Warren Buffett
it exists.. S&P 500 should be around 4,300-4,400 not one dollae higher.. it will go down don't worry
Don't worry he says but he forgot to mention how long you are not to worry. Sooner or later Frank will be correct but not now.
To the people who insist a bubble exists, your next question is how stretched and stretchy is the bubble's material?
Money is a moving target, good luck
Strong stocks rise means that there is a lot of fiat money on the market, which means that inflation will be high. Dollar will be weak
Both US money supply and Fed balance sheet have been trending down since early 2022.
green for hoping interest rate cut but the inflation still high... goodluck with interest rate cut....lol
Plunge Protection Team working hard today to protect stock market from collapse. So how much stock do big banks and the government now own?
Collapse? What collapse? Do you see any sign at all of a collapse today?
Market was going up before 1988.
IT'S A CONSPIRACY!!!
ha! rate cut BETS! These analysts ob some serious ster-oids!
bear meat was so good! but thats not enough, we need more anger more bears more knowledgeable and educated short sell, Go short the avengers!
Definitely. So far, nearly everything is just rising non stop. Bears, where are you?? We need a dip to buy again.
you don't understand the game, if there are bears the market won't drop, bears make market rising.
stop with the rate cuts coming garbage. The bug players are setting up a massive bull trap fire the biggest bubble in history. Only question is not if, but when they pull the rug
Bears keep calling it the 'biggest bubble' as the market makes 1 all-time high after another.
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