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Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: October 20 - 24

Published 10/19/2014, 11:09 AM
Updated 10/19/2014, 11:09 AM
Euro slips lower against stronger dollar at week's end

Investing.com - The euro fell against the dollar on Friday as the greenback was boosted by data showing that U.S. consumer sentiment unexpectedly improved this month.

EUR/USD was down 0.38% to 1.2759 in late trade, not far from session lows of 1.2745.

The pair is likely to find support at around 1.2625 and resistance at 1.2843, Thursday’s high.

The greenback was boosted after a report showed that the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index unexpectedly rose to 86.4 in October, the most since July 2007.

Another report showed that housing starts rose more than expected last month, bolstering the outlook for the sector.

The data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the second half of 2015.

The dollar fell against the other major currencies on Wednesday, touching a three-week trough against the euro amid a selloff sparked by fears that slower global growth would act as a drag on the U.S. economy.

Germany’s government cut its forecast for economic growth for this year and next on Tuesday, after recent data pointed to weakness in exports and industrial output.

The euro area’s largest economy now expects growth of 1.2% this year down from 1.8% previously and growth of 1.3% in 2015, down from 2%.

On Thursday, European Central Bank official Ewald Nowotny said the bank still has leeway for more action to address slowing inflation in the euro area, but added that the euro zone economy did not need emergency measures.

In recent months the ECB has cut interest rates to record lows, extended new four-year loans to banks and announced a plan to purchase asset-backed securities, a form of quantitative easing, in a bid to shore up the ailing euro area economy.

Elsewhere, the single currency edged higher against the yen on Friday, with EUR/JPY easing up 0.15% to 136.38 in late trade, off Thursday’s 11-month lows of 134.12.

In the week ahead, the euro zone is to release preliminary data on private sector activity. The U.S. is to release data on consumer inflation, as well as reports on both existing and new home sales.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, October 20

Germany’s Bundesbank is to publish its monthly report.

Tuesday, October 21

The U.S. is to release private sector data on existing home sales.

Wednesday, October 22

The U.S. is to produce data on consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

Thursday, October 23

The euro zone is to publish preliminary data on private sector activity, while Germany and France are to also to publish data on private sector growth.

The U.S. is to publish its weekly report on initial jobless claims.

Friday, October 24

The Gfk think tank is to release its report on German business climate.

The U.S. is to round up the week with a report on new home sales.

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