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Forex - Aussie gains solidly after CPI data above expectations, yen down

Published 10/25/2016, 09:50 PM
Updated 10/25/2016, 09:52 PM
© Reuters.  Aussie gains after CPI

Investing.com - The Aussie gained solidly on Wednesday after consumer prices rose more than expected, though a calculated measure used by the central bank drew notice, while the yen weakened after corporate prices data.

USD/JPY changed hands at 104.33, up 0.10%, while AUD/USD traded at 0.7688, up 0.55%.

In Japan, the corporate services price index gained 0.3% in September for the 39th straight rise after a 0.2% rise in August and more than the 0.2% increase seen year-on-year.

In Australia, third quarter CPI rose 0.7%, beating the 0.5% rise expected quarter-on-quarter and set a 1.3% pace year-on-year, also beating expectations.

Underlying inflation, the average of trimmed-mean and weighted-median inflation, rose 0.35% quarter-on-quarter and at a 1.5% year-on-year pace. This is roughly the measure the RBA uses in its cash-rate deliberations. The Reserve Bank of Australia's inflation target band is 2% to 3%. The figure was lower than expected and at a record low owing to an upward revision in past data. This data continue to make a case for more RBA easing.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose 0.09% to 98.78.

Overnight, the dollar hit multi-month highs against the other major currencies on Tuesday, as expectations for a near-term rate hike by the Federal Reserve underpinned demand, while sterling was pressured lower.

Expectations for higher interest rates typically boost the dollar by making the currency more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

On Monday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said the U.S. central bank could raise rates three times between now and the end of next year so long as the inflation outlook and the labor market remain on track.

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The Fed’s next meeting is in November, but a rate hike ahead of the presidential election is seen as unlikely.

Investors currently price a 78.3% chance of a rate hike at the Fed's December meeting; according to federal funds futures tracked by Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

The pound regained ground after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said the bank has to weigh the recent increase in inflation against supporting the economy with low interest rates.

The remarks came as Carney testified about the economic consequences of the Brexit vote before the Economic Affairs Committee in the House of Lords. Carney also said it is frustrating to have interest rates so low for so long, but added that the bank’s focus is on its remit to get inflation where it needs to be.

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