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Oil Up on Strong Year-End U.S. Crude, Gasoline Draws

Published 12/29/2021, 02:47 PM
Updated 12/29/2021, 02:51 PM
© Reuters

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Oil prices rose for a sixth straight day on Wednesday after U.S. inventory data showed strong drawdowns for both crude and fuels last week as Americans resumed year-end travel and festivities after being assured of lower risks from Covid’s Omicron variant.

Crude prices have also been trending higher in anticipation of positive action and remarks in the coming week when global producer group OPEC+ holds its first meeting for the new year.

West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for U.S. crude, settled Wednesday’s trade up 58 cents, or 0.8%, at $76.56 per barrel. WTI has risen more than 12% over the past six sessions, after slumping to a three-week low of $66.04 on Dec. 20 on fears about a wave of Omicron infections reported that week. Year-to-date, WTI is up 57%.

London-traded Brent, the global benchmark for oil, settled up 29 cents, or 0.4%, at $79.23. Brent is up more than 11% from its Dec. 20 low of $72.87. Year-to-date, Brent is up 53%.

U.S. health authorities, led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have told Americans over the past week that Omicron appears to be a milder form of the coronavirus compared with the original Covid-19 strain or the Delta variant, especially for those who are vaccinated. 

Separately, the average number of daily confirmed coronavirus cases in the United States hit a record high of 258,312 over the past seven days, figures compiled by Reuters showed. The report did not determine how many of those infected were unvaccinated.

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The final weeks of December are typically strong periods for gasoline and diesel consumption in the United States as people take to the road for Christmas, New Year and holiday travels. Trucking activity is also heavy at this time of year due to seasonal gift deliveries.

Weekly oil inventory data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday reinforced those trends.

Crude inventories fell by 3.576 million barrels during the week ended Dec. 24, the EIA reported in its Weekly Petroleum Status Report. 

Industry analysts tracked by Investing.com had anticipated a drawdown of just around 3.233 million barrels for the week.

The latest crude stockpile drop followed back-to-back declines of 4.715 million and 4.584 million barrels in two previous weeks that also exceeded expectations.

In an aberration to usual consumption, U.S. gasoline stockpiles swelled two weeks ago by their most in six months as fuel demand briefly slumped amid cutbacks to social activity triggered by Omicron concerns.

By last week though, gasoline usage was back to seasonal trends, with inventories falling by 1.459 million barrels, their most since early November. Analysts had forecast a gasoline consumption of 31,000 barrels for last week.

Distillates inventories also fell by a substantial 1.726 million barrels last week, the most in three weeks, versus expectations for a drawdown of  59,000 barrels.

 

Latest comments

I hate to play Debbe Downer here but I'm pessimistic. I KNOW this is planned and most people are beginning to feel it too. Even if 'Brandon Builds Back' legislation goes into the toilet I have a sneaky feeling that they'll find other ways to force this horrible, polluting nation to slow down with the driving and eventually pull the plug. I would hope that if he starts any sh!+ like that, the same ppl will finally say "ENOUGH!" and fight back. IDK what they'll be running all that fine green machinery with or how their 'green' materials will be built without petroleum products. They haven't a clue how enormous a role petroleum plays in our lives. And all will suffer when it's gone and everyone's got their thumbs up their butts saying "Ru ro! We screwed up!" ( then blame Trump)
You should take to fiction writing; I see some talent here.
Barani,  I have a bet with a guy who doesn't lose bets.  The bet is Brent hits $100 next year at any time.  Which side do you like on this one?
Hah... It's going to be hard for me to win against that, mate, especially with that "any time" next year horizon :) But, of course, that's on the basis that it doesn't fall off the cliff from where it is now. We could get to the low 60s again, even $50. Sustaining it will be difficult unless shale comes out in force and Iran somehow gets into the good books of the world.
I don't immediately see a game changer for oil unless Saudi-Russian relations head to the doghouse for any reason. Then, yes, OPEC+ will be fractured and that could affect their consensus on decision-making. Without that, major fundamental support will be there for at least $60 a barrel Brent. Shale has to lead again; Biden has loosened the screws on them but he can't make it too obvious for the sake of the progressives in his party.
 I actually have the under on that bet.  He's the one who thinks Brent goes to 100.  He'll be right as usual.  The bet this year was the 10 yr hits 2% at any point and I had the over.  He won easily.  We bet a bottle of Dom.  We'll see what happens.  Open interest is so low right now and Brent is almost $80 so if it gets anywhere near where it was in 2018 or even earlier this year it should propel it close to 100 even if for only a few days.  I don't see 60's or below.  Not with the current inventory situation.  Just my two cents.  Happy New Year my man
medias write trash , delta ganma mhu omicron inflation a Big Game for hunt more Bears. now we have rally of christmas and rally of new year for january 10 , they want $80-$100 oil
not EVERYONE wants $80 to $100 oil, Matias. You must understand that commodities are, in the most simplistic sense, a zero-sum game. For every buyer, there's a seller. So, there are theoretically enough bears out there, though weekly CFTC data on long managers positions wouldn't reflect that now. In that same sense, not EVERY media writes trash. I dare you to find one line in the story above that's materially wrong -- or "trash" -- as you define it. Otherwise, zip up.
with 37k flights cancelled since thursday ofcourse this dont affect demand right, airlines buying tankers and dont use them.making sure demand will drop heavy next weeks. atleast if they dont fix data cause oil traders say something else about demand and tbh i believe those who are globally traders over a organization who works for the gov (eia) they get paid to fix data. remember covid china in lockdown and 2 weeks later inventory was still draw so the 2nd biggest economy in lockdown was no remove of demand? cause thats why oil dropped 180$ wait for it
If your point is that oil should be lower, I hear you. But in an environment where EIA data prevails over everything else, the case is overwhelmingly tilted the other way. Let's see what the data says in coming weeks.
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