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Oil slumps almost 2% on strong dollar, global glut concerns

Published 08/29/2016, 09:39 AM
Updated 08/29/2016, 09:39 AM
© Reuters.  Oil slumps on strong dollar, global glut concerns

Investing.com - Oil prices extended overnight losses during North American hours on Monday, falling almost 2% as a broadly stronger U.S. dollar and fading hopes of a production freeze weighed on sentiment.

Crude oil for October delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange slumped 73 cents, or 1.53%, to trade at $46.91 a barrel by 9:39AM ET (13:39GMT).

Meanwhile, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for November delivery declined 74 cents, or 1.48%, to trade at $49.41 a barrel.

Oil's losses came as the U.S. dollar climbed to a two-week high following hawkish comments from two top Federal Reserve officials that hinted at a potential U.S. interest rate hike as early as next month.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said Friday at a gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that the case for an increase was strengthening, while Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer indicated a tightening is possible at the next review in September.

An increase in U.S. interest rates tends to lift the dollar, which would make oil more expensive for traders who conduct business in other currencies.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, jumped to a daily peak of 95.81, the most since August 12. It was last at 95.75 early Monday.

Meanwhile, chances that the upcoming meeting among major oil producers in late September would yield any action to reduce the global glut appeared minimal after Iran said it would only cooperate in talks to freeze output if fellow exporters recognized its right to fully regain market share.

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Last week, Saudi Arabia's Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said that he does not believe any "significant intervention" in the oil market is necessary.

His reported comments come ahead of an informal meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in Algeria late next month, during which major oil producers are expected to discuss a potential output freeze.

However, analysts and traders remain skeptical the meeting would result in a coherent effort to reduce the global glut.

Crude prices soared almost $10 a barrel, or nearly 25%, in the first three weeks of August, as the prospect of an output freeze by major producers at an informal OPEC meeting in Algeria next month sparked a massive rally.

An attempt to jointly freeze production levels earlier this year failed after Saudi Arabia backed out over Iran's refusal to take part of the initiative, underscoring the difficulty for political rivals to forge consensus.

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