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NYMEX up, Brent steady as China trade data lifts demand hopes

Published 12/07/2016, 11:12 PM
Updated 12/07/2016, 11:13 PM
© Reuters.  NYMEX gains after China trade data

Investing.com - Crude prices held steady to higher in Asia on Thursday with trade data from China lifting sentiment on demand prospects by the world's second largest importer.

Crude oil for January delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange was last quoted at $49.88 a barrel, up 0.22%. Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for February delivery was flat at $53.000 a barrel.

China reported its trade balance for November as a surplus of $44.61 billion, compared with a surplus of $46.30 billion seen and exports posted a slight increase of 0.1%, well above the decline of 5.0% expected, while imports jumped 6.7%, well above 1.3% fall seen.

China imported 32.35 million metric tonnes of crude oil in November, compared to 28.79 million tonnes in October, or an 18% gain to 7.87 million barrels per day, while refined product exports reached a new record at 4.85 million tonnes, up 18.3 percent on year.

Earlier in Japan, third quarter GDP rose 0.3%, weaker than the 0.6% gain seen quarter-on-quarter and at a 1.3% pace year-on-year, well below the 2.4% increase expected.

The revised figures fall under a new base year and international standard that were adjusted along with a sharp upward revsion in first quarter figures. Going forward, Japan's lukewarm economy has made a solid start to the final quarter of 2016 and the government revised up its assessment of the economy,saying it is "improving," instead of "stalling," reflecting a firmer tone in the
coincident composite index for October.

It was the first upgrade based on the key indicator since December 2014 and the first change since May 2015, when it downgraded its view to "stalling" from "improving."

Overnight, West Texas Intermediate oil futures pared losses in North American trade on Wednesday, after data showed that oil supplies in the U.S. registered an inventory draw that was twice as big as expected.

However, investors appeared to change their minds as they digested the data and crude prices hit intraday lows in what may have disappointment at the large build at the key U.S. delivery point as well as larger-than-expected increases in both gasoline and distillate stockpiles.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that crude oil inventories fell by 2.389 million barrels in the week ended December 2. Market analysts' expected a crude-stock draw of 1.032 million barrels, while the American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported a supply draw of 2.21 million barrels.

Supplies at Cushing, Oklahoma, the key delivery point for Nymex crude, rose by 3.783 million barrels last week, the EIA said. Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 485.8 million barrels as of last week, according to press release, which the EIA considered to be “at (the) upper limit of the average range for this time of year”.

The report also showed that gasoline inventories increased by 3.425 million barrels, compared to expectations for a build of 1.948 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles grew by 2.501 million barrels, compared to forecasts for a gain of 1.840 million.

Investors are turning their attention towards a meeting of OPEC and non-OPEC members in Vienna on Dec. 10 to finalize the details of the agreement to cut production in order to help relieve the global supply glut and support prices.

Though OPEC members have reached an agreement to cut daily output by 1.2 million barrels and non-OPEC producers pledged another 600,000 barrel reduction, doubts have emerged over how effective the cuts will be at reducing massive oversupply that has pressured prices lower for more than two years.

Oil production has been outstripping consumption by between one to two million bpd since late 2014. Furthermore, OPEC and Russia have reported that output hit record highs since the deal was announced, adding to fears that the global supply overhang could persist well into 2017.

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