Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Oil edges up, but concern over supply persists ahead of OPEC

Published 12/01/2015, 05:16 AM
Updated 12/01/2015, 05:16 AM
© Reuters. Stacked rigs are seen along with other idled oil drilling equipment at a depot in Dickinson

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON (Reuters) - Crude oil prices rose on Tuesday as the dollar eased slightly, but with OPEC widely expected to stick to its output target this week, concern about oversupply remained in focus.

The European Central Bank is set to announce its latest policy decision on Thursday, OPEC's decision on output is due on Friday along with U.S. monthly jobs numbers, meaning oil prices have been hemmed into a range of no more than $4 for the last week.

Brent crude futures (LCOc1) were up 42 cents at $45.03 a barrel by 0943 GMT (0443 ET), while U.S. WTI crude futures (CLc1) were up 49 cents at $42.14 a barrel.

Both fell by around 10 percent in November.

"Crude is entering a third week of trading almost unchanged on a weekly basis.

Towards the end of the week, we have the ECB, the (jobs) number and the OPEC meeting, so that is going to really set the outlook for the first quarter (of 2016)," said Olivier Jakob, an analyst at consultant Petromatrix.

"There is a lot of waiting before those macro inputs are out of the way and, until then, it's a bit difficult to have a strong directional bias," he said.

The ECB is widely expected to further loosen euro zone monetary policy, while the U.S. economy is expected to have added more jobs, albeit at a slightly more modest rate in November.

Meanwhile, the dollar edged down around 0.2 percent against a basket of currencies (DXY), which tends to make it cheaper for non-U.S. buyers to snap up dollar-denominated assets such as oil or gold.

In physical markets, Dubai crude fell to its lowest since December 2008, averaging $41.691 per barrel for November, according to price-reporting agency Platts.

The premium of Brent crude over Dubai is now at its largest since July 2014 , meaning oil priced off the North Sea benchmark is less attractive right now to Asian buyers.

OPEC's biggest producer Saudi Arabia, which heavily influences the group's policy, is widely expected to keep output steady despite declining prices.

OPEC made a historic decision last year to keep pumping oil to protect its market share against U.S. shale drillers and other producers, which resulted in a glut that has cut the value of a barrel of oil in half.

"There is a real risk that we could see lower prices," said Ric Spooner, chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney. "The prospects for demand growth are not large enough to go into the supply overhang."

© Reuters. Stacked rigs are seen along with other idled oil drilling equipment at a depot in Dickinson

Hedge funds cut their bets on a rise in U.S. crude to a more than five-year low, on the back of concern that U.S. output is not falling fast enough to offset global oversupply.

Latest comments

"There is a real risk that we could see lower prices," said Ric Spooner, it means there is a real chance that we could see higher prices
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.