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James Picerno

  • Analysis & Opinion

James Picerno's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of James Picerno's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

The outlook for first-quarter US growth has been cut to the bone, according to the current estimate of the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow data. But if the “wisdom” of the crowd is accurate ...
Probing the link between financial markets and chaotic states, fractals, and related topics dates to the 1960s, when mathematician Benoit Mandelbrot effectively launched this line of research with his...
An early look at the macro profile for the start of the second quarter is the main event today for Europe and the US via flash estimates of purchasing managers indexes (PMI) for April. At stake are ...
The Fiscal Times advises that the “the housing market is about to perk up.” One of the reasons for the optimistic outlook, we’re told, is the recent rebound in sales. This upbeat ...
Europe’s nascent economic recovery is in focus today with an update on retail sales for Italy and the initial April estimate of consumer confidence for the Eurozone via the European ...
The March report of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reaffirms what’s been obvious for some time: US economic activity in this year’s first quarter has been soft. It’s ...
Tuesday’s another slow day for economic updates, although two reports will provide timely news on the outlook for Germany and the Eurozone via ZEW's sentiment indexes. Later, a peek at retail ...
The unusually wide spread at the outer edges for the trailing performances of the major asset classes via our standard set of ETF proxies has been squeezed a bit. The compression is due mostly to ...
Monday’s a slow day for scheduled economic releases, but macro risk will be front and centre as the market focuses on Greece as it struggles to satisfy its creditors ahead of Friday’s ...
US Economic Trend
By James Picerno - Apr 17, 2015
US economic growth slowed in this year’s first quarter, perhaps to the point that the quarterly change for Q1 GDP will be flat in the Commerce Department’s “advance” estimate ...