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James Picerno

  • Analysis & Opinion

James Picerno's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of James Picerno's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

The markets staggered to the year’s midpoint with a thud, with most of the major asset classes suffering losses in June. The exception: broadly defined commodities (Bloomberg Commodity Index), ...
The ongoing crisis in Greece is still the tail that’s wagging the dog. Otherwise, it’s a slow day for economic reports in Europe, although the monthly update on unemployment in Spain will ...
US Nonfarm Private Payrolls: June 2015 Preview Private nonfarm payrolls in the US are projected to increase by 211,000 (seasonally adjusted) in Thursday’s update for June from the Labor ...
Wednesday’s another busy day of economic releases, although everyone’s attention will remain firmly focused on the rapidly evolving story about Greece and its fiscal straightjacket. In any...
The escalating Greek crisis has raised new questions about the timing of the Federal Reserve’s plans for the first US rate hike since 2006. But by some accounts, it’s still mostly noise on...
It’s still Greece, Greece, Greece in the headlines, but Tuesday’s a busy day for scheduled economic releases throughout Europe and the US. The highlights include this month’s first ...
Greece will hold a referendum this coming weekend on whether to accept a deal outlined by its creditors last week. Assuming that events don't intervene in the days ahead, the vote could determine if ...
The US economic trend remains modestly positive as the second quarter comes to a close, based on a markets-based estimate of macro conditions. The Macro-Markets Risk Index (MMRI) closed at +4.8% ...
History shows rather clearly that the stock market is prone to extreme events, aka crashes. The challenge is deciding when the risk for a repeat performance is unusually high. The literature offers ...
Thursday’s a busy day for economic releases, which includes a fresh look at the mood in Germany’s consumer sector via the monthly report from Gfk. Later, two reports on the US economy will...