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Doug Short   

Joined: Oct 17, 2011

Doug Short's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Doug Short's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

Today the Institute for Supply Management published its monthly Manufacturing Report for June. The latest headline PMI was 53.5 percent, an increase of 0.7% from the previous month and slightly above ...
Quick take: At the end of June the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 index price was 91% above its long-term trend, a slight decline from the previous month. About the only certainty in the stock market ...
Here is a new update of a popular market valuation method using the most recent Standard & Poor's "as reported" earnings and earnings estimates and the index monthly average of daily closes for ...
Quick take: Based on the June S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E is 97% above its arithmetic mean and at the 98th percentile of this fourteen-plus-decade monthly metric. The 2011 ...
Note: The charts below have been updated to include today's preliminary report on U.S. Light Vehicle sales. For the past few years we've been following a couple of transportation metrics: Vehicle ...
The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. It's a fairly simple concept, but laborious to calculate. The Q Ratio is the ...
Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? At this point, six years later, the S&P 500 has set an inflation-adjusted record high based on monthly ...
The economic mover and shaker this week is today's employment report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This monthly report contains a wealth of data for economists, the most publicized being the ...
Here is an advance preview of the monthly moving averages we track after the close of the last business day of the month. At this point, before the open on the last day of the month, all three S&P...
We have added the Dallas Fed Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (TMOS) focusing on the General Business Conditions Index to our series of regional Fed updates. This indicator measures manufacturing ...