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US Sugar No11 Futures - Mar 15 (SBH5)

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16.56 +0.14    (+0.85%)
13:48:10 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 16.42
  • Open: 16.65
  • Day's Range: 16.54 - 16.68
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US Sugar No11 16.56 ++0.14 (++0.85%)
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US Sugar No11 Contracts



   
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US Sugar No11
 
 
 
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Latest US Sugar No11 Comments

Robert Chua
Robert Chua Oct 22, 2014 08:17AM GMT
Any comments here on sugar? Mark?.
mark w
mark w Oct 22, 2014 08:44AM GMT
Hi Robert, wish there was some clarity. Just closed a short position for no loss and no gain. The short term trend since 17.19 high is visibly down within a descending channel, but the lack of downwards momentum suggests it may be consolidating for a push higher. I have checked for fibonacci relationships to try and determine probabilities but nothing doing. Can find no relationships. Am standing clear for now. Even my gut feelings can't decide if it thinks up or down? Today's gap up certainly didn't help. Is it a bull market indication or just a move to wipe out short stops before heading lower? MacD daily looks to have topped and be suggesting bearishness. Also gaps don't normally occur in positions such as today's. Suggest short term investors draw channel lines top and bottom of waves since 17.21 and look for clear breach with two - one hourly candles outside channel, top or bottom, to indicate short term direction. Best wishes, Mark

mark w
mark w Oct 10, 2014 09:07AM GMT
Price 16.55: for the past year sugar has range traded between 20.15 & 13.31, but since 2011 the trend has been down. In the bigger picture it is difficult to say if the bear trend has ended. Certainly since 13.31 price appears to have increased in 5 waves, suggesting - after a sizeable retracement, which may be underway now, a further 5 wave of bullishness to follow? If it is a change of trend, then the next wave up should carry price rapidly above the October 2013 high of 20.15. - But reversals of trend are normally hesitant affairs, whereas this reversal was rapid, suggesting a correction only, where price may yet rise further but stay within the previously stated range and eventually head lower? Unfortunately there is little clarity as yet. If the market has returned to bull and the first wave up ended, we should see a 50% to 61.8% retracement now to either 15.25 or 14.79? The latter, a deep correction, would add confidence to the idea of a return to a bull market. Best wishes

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SA MARKET FORECASTER Oct 07, 2014 06:27AM GMT
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