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US Coffee C Futures - May 15 (KCK5)

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132.98 +3.70    (+2.86%)
16:43:43 GMT - Real-time CFD Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type: Commodity
Group: Agriculture
Unit: 1 Pound

  • Prev. Close: 129.28
  • Open: 131.35
  • Day's Range: 130.23 - 133.83
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US Coffee C 132.98 ++3.70 (++2.86%)
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US Coffee C Contracts

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US Coffee C
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Latest US Coffee C Comments

Paulo Piancastelli
Paulo Piancastelli Mar 04, 2015 01:16PM GMT
Guys, as I said before I won't risk any prediction on where markets are going, especially since I never thought they get so low with such adverse conditions for production... I am long a few contracts to cover for the bags I had to sell to pay the bills some time ago. I don't have to say that it didn't turn out so well, hehe... But let me state a few facts: 1) we had good rains in Feb, but January and February combine still don't account for more than 2/3 of January 2013's rains; 2) with the rains, the plantation does look great, all leafy and green, but there wasn't that much coffee to begin with... No amount of rain can put more cherries on the trees. 3) the same big exporters/importers who keep putting out inflated crop forecasts are paying some of the best differentials I have seen when they want coffee.
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Mar 04, 2015 01:36PM GMT
Thank You Paulo for this feedback. Are you in South Minas or Cerrado ? How much rain do you need in March and April for good cherry maturation ?
Gabu  Max
Gabu Max Mar 04, 2015 04:43PM GMT
Paulo...I´m based in South of Minas and I agree with you. HOWEVER...market is not looking to the upcoming crop any longer. Market is looking to what could happen in 2016 if all gets back to normality. Please remember...market is discounting the premium added because of negative effects of drought. As 2016 could be a potential record crop...market is anticipating...discounting quite fast. We are 2 months away from new crop...nothing can move coffee up if no tragedy expected. Corrections could be expected and in my opinion a good opportunity to sell.

Get  ReaL
Get ReaL Mar 04, 2015 12:10PM GMT
No doubt a oversold pop, look for the fill on gap @ 129.30 to be filled. if takes out yesterdays low we will see 125.
Alberto Ferracuti
Alberto Ferracuti Mar 04, 2015 12:18PM GMT
Get Real, what do you think of Call option buy right here ? Seems good to me. Sooner or later true fundamentals will take hold, not the hogwash we have been listening to łately.

koenraad de neef
koenraad de neef Mar 04, 2015 11:10AM GMT
both 132,lets see.
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