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Who Would $35 Crude Hurt The Most?

Published 12/17/2014, 01:02 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Light Crude Oil

Crude oil has traded inside of rising-channel (A) for the past couple of decades and not even the financial crisis in 2009 could cause crude to break that rising channel's support.

The break below the multi-year pennant pattern a couple of months ago caused a good deal of selling in the crude complex, which continues to fall like a knife. Crude didn't even pause as it was slicing through channel (A) support.

Almost 90 days ago, when crude was trading above $90, the Power of the Pattern suggested that a break of support could send crude down to $70 at least.

For nearly 20 years, crude traded inside of sideways-channel (1), which was tested as support back in 2009. With crude breaking down, the next long-term support that comes into play could be channel (1), around the $35 level, which was hit in 2009.

What countries will be impacted by lower oil prices? Certainly Russia, and possibly Saudi Arabia, too. And don't forget that the United States could also take a hit.

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