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Time For The Pullback?

Published 10/23/2014, 12:34 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Sellers were going to make an appearance at some point and yesterday was the day they paid a visit. Whether a larger pullback emerges will depend on events over the coming days, but yesterday's selling did emerge at some natural attack points for shorts.

The S&P 500 finished with a 'bearish cloud cover,' but it did manage to hold declining resistance turned support, and the 20-day MA has entered the fray as an area for bears to work. But this wasn't the most bearish of the indices, and yesterday's finish actually gives bulls a long play today (for a bounce off support).  Technicals also suggest a bounce.

SPX Daily

While the S&P may give bulls something today, the Dow Jones Index is playing to bears. The rejection of the 200-day MA coincided with a failed test of former support turned resistance. An undercut of 16,350 would effectively confirm the retest of 15.855.

INDU Daily

The NASDAQ 100 offers a more attractive entry level for shorts. There is a clear declining resistance level which was rebuffed on yesterday's action.  Technicals have sided with bulls, so shorts shouldn't linger if such resistance is broken to the upside.

NDX Daily

The Russell 2000 is in an odd position. It experienced the most bearish action on the day with its bearish engulfing pattern. This suggests further downside today, but given the strength of the October bounce, it probably has the best support options, the first of which will be the 20-day MA.  A weak finish on Thursday may offer a value play here.

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RUT Daily

Bulls should also watch the Semiconductor Index. I'm still liking the 'Island Reversal', but for it to stay true, Tuesday's breakout gap can't close. It will have the 200-day MA to help bulls today, although it may not be enough to protect in morning action.

SOX Daily

For today, the Nasdaq 100 is perhaps the index to watch for shorts with the best risk:reward. Longs can look to the Russell 2000 if there is a second day of selling, but if bulls come bursting out of the gates then the S&P might be the better long play.

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