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The Bear Market In Precious Metals Mining Shares Ended Yesterday

Published 05/21/2013, 03:41 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

There have been more false bottoms in precious metals and mining shares than a 1920s gangster’s briefcase. However, yesterday’s massive bullish reversal has all the ingredients of a major market low – this one looks like the real McCoy. Due to the confluence of the following factors, May 20th, 2013 has a very good chance of going down in the history books as a major inflection point at the end of one of the most grueling bear markets in the history of the metals and resource space:

  • Gold & silver put/call ratios at record highs
  • Gross gold short positions have reached a new record high of 14.3 million ounces (~$19.7 billion)
  • Former gold bulls (large institutions and fund managers such as Soros) have turned bearish
  • Die-hard bulls are despondent
  • Bullish momentum & volume divergences
Gold Miner’s ETF (GDX)
GDX_Daily
Silver Wheaton (SLW)
SLW_Daily
Gold Daily
GOLD
Gold Monthly
Gold_Monthly

Adding weight to the bullish case is the bizarre action in silver during the last 24 hours, which has all the makings of a final capitulative flush at the end of a brutal 24-month bear market:

Silver

And the icing on the cake comes in the form of the “explanation” for yesterday’s metals rally: “short covering and bargain hunting”

This is all very reminiscent of the October 4th, 2011 equity market bottom:
SPX_Daily
What was the financial media saying when equities reversed higher during the final hour of October 4th, 2011 you ask?

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