Further US Dollar strength continued - but actually a little more than anticipated. This brings us to a key juncture in this sequence. Momentum across the Europeans is very clearly Dollar bullish. Both hourly & 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds confirm momentum readings. However, we are also at a stage where there is potential for a correction. The crucial element to now consider is just how deep any correction will manage to retrace. This will be the task for today.
The Aussie edged a little higher again, baulking the general Dollar strength. It’s rather difficult to gauge the next move given that momentum here is neutral and also reflected by the oscillation around the hourly & 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds. It’s going to need a break of the range over the pat two days to begin to generate a move away from the Clouds to generate the next directional move.
USD/JPY moved nowhere but is poised to extend losses. The key issue is finding its corrective high. Once that has been established we can be more certain of the resumption of the downside. On the assumption that EUR/USD is going to correct higher, USD/JPY needs to take advantage of the downside. Thus, the balance between these two - and the expectations in EUR/JPY - is going to need some critical observance. I do see the cross extending losses but will then need a correction. This tends to suggest a period of corrective behaviour all round.
Caution today. There are some mixed outlooks – although generally expecting corrections…