Oil Forming Continuation Pattern Within Larger Trend

By   |  Commodities  |  Feb 20, 2013 03:12PM GMT  |  3 Comments
 
Oil extended lower at the end of last week in wave C. Well, we anticipated a five-wave decline from 98.00 but because of an overlap with 96.57, the market actually completed a three-waves move (a)-(b)-(c) down to 95.11. This is a structure of a corrective movement so we think that price action from Jan. 30 is actually an incomplete triangle in wave 4), especially considering that the market did not move through the previous wave A swing level. If we are correct, the market will stay sideways for the next 24-48 hours before price breaks higher, through the 98 mark that will open the door to the $100 psychological level.
Crude Oil, Four Hour
 Crude Oil, Four Hour

What Is A Triangle?
A Triangle is a common 5-wave pattern labeled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to C, and from waves B to D. A Triangle is either contracting or expanding depending on whether the channel lines are converging or expanding. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3.
Triangle Wave Pattern
 Triangle Wave Pattern

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data .

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.

Add a Comment

 

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind: 

  • Enrich the conversation
  • Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
  • Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
  •  Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
  • Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

 
Comments
Herb Marshall
Herb Marshall Feb 21, 2013 05:11AM GMT
What happened?

James Kovalsky
James Kovalsky Feb 20, 2013 06:04PM GMT
Nice try try looking at a longer time scale then you will get the picture expect oil to test 78 bucks over the coming months. al this hype about the us economy recovering is pie in the sky

crazy  eight
crazy eight Feb 20, 2013 04:48PM GMT
do you still see it going to 100?
 
 
 

Successfully Reported

Thank you. This comment has been flagged for a moderator.
_touchLoadingMsg
 
 
CFDs Quotes
 SPX 500 Futures1,645.95+0.70+0.04%  
 NQ 100 Futures2,991.00+2.50+0.08%  
 US 3015,318.23+138.38+0.91%  
 DAX8,229.51+13.78+0.17%  
 FTSE 1006,374.21+43.72+0.69%  
 Japan 22513,007.28-25.84-0.2%  
 US Dollar Index80.80-0.01-0.01%  
CFDs Quotes
 Gold1,367.55+0.65+0.05%  
 Silver21.622-0.055-0.25%  
 Copper3.161+0.008+0.26%  
 Crude Oil98.76+0.09+0.09%  
 Natural Gas3.915+0.003+0.08%  
 US Cotton No.286.96-2.04-2.29%  
 US Coffee C123.58+0.35+0.28%  
 
 EUR/USD1.3389-0.0005-0.03%  
 GBP/USD1.5628-0.0016-0.10%  
 USD/JPY95.60+0.27+0.28%  
 USD/CHF0.9206+0.0005+0.06%  
 AUD/USD0.9468-0.0018-0.19%  
 USD/CAD1.0223+0.0013+0.12%  
 EUR/GBP0.8567+0.0005+0.06%  
CFDs Quotes
 Euro Bund143.36-0.28-0.19%  
 Euro BTP111.92-0.26-0.23%  
 Euro BOBL125.936-0.220-0.17%  
 UK Gilt114.76-0.49-0.43%  
 US 2 YR T-Note110.18+0.01+0.01%  
 US 10 YR T-Note129.20+0.03+0.02%  
 US 30 YR T-Bond139.49+0.04+0.03%  
Connect to Investing.com
  Central Banks Interest Rates Next Meeting  
  FED0.00%-0.25%Jun 19, 2013 
  ECB0.50%Jul 04, 2013 
  BOE0.50%Jul 04, 2013 
  SNB0.00%Jun 20, 2013 
  RBA2.75%Jul 02, 2013 
  BOC1.00%Jul 17, 2013 
  RBNZ2.50%Jul 24, 2013 
  BOJ0.10%Jul 10, 2013